Which Rams props actually win together — and which quietly fight each other? Everything below is computed from 85 real games (2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted). No picks, no locks: just the historical relationships, with sample sizes.
In 2025 the Rams averaged 30.5 points per game and the game total went Over in 10 of 17 games (59%). Over the full five-season sample the Over hit 49% of the time.
Chemistry is the recency-weighted correlation between two props' game-by-game results. Green pairs rise and fall together — one coherent story. The joint column counts games where both beat their typical line.
| Leg A | Leg B | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ronnie Rivers Rush Yds | Ronnie Rivers Rush Att | +0.98 | 10 of 23 |
| Tyler Higbee Rec Yds | Tyler Higbee Receptions | +0.84 | 29 of 59 |
| LA Points | Game Total Points | +0.74 | 27 of 85 |
| Opponent Points | Game Total Points | +0.73 | 26 of 85 |
| LA Points | Blake Corum Rush Att | +0.72 | 9 of 32 |
| LA Points | Blake Corum Rush Yds | +0.72 | 10 of 32 |
| LA Points | Matthew Stafford Pass TDs | +0.72 | 22 of 74 |
| Matthew Stafford Pass TDs | Blake Corum Rush Att | +0.61 | 7 of 31 |
Negative chemistry is not a warning — flip one leg to the Under and a fighting pair becomes a coherent story. How Under legs work in an SGP →
| Leg A | Leg B | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Higbee Rec TDs | Davis Allen Rec TDs | -0.36 | 0 of 15 |
| Tutu Atwell Rec Yds | Davis Allen Rec TDs | -0.40 | 0 of 16 |
| Colby Parkinson Rec TDs | Kyren Williams Rush Att | -0.42 | 0 of 29 |
| Tyler Higbee Rec TDs | Puka Nacua Rec Yds | -0.45 | 0 of 26 |
Estimated lines are trailing medians of recent production — a stable reference point, not a live sportsbook quote.
| Prop | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA Points | 26.5 | 26.0 | 65% | 40% | 85 |
| Opponent Points | 22.5 | 22.0 | 41% | 49% | 85 |
| Game Total Points | 47.5 | 47.0 | 59% | 46% | 85 |
| Matthew Stafford Pass Yds | 269.5 | 269.0 | 53% | 49% | 74 |
| Matthew Stafford Pass TDs | 2.5 | 2.0 | 53% | 32% | 74 |
| Matthew Stafford Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.0 | 29% | 50% | 74 |
| Tyler Higbee Rec Yds | 27.5 | 27.0 | 40% | 56% | 59 |
| Tyler Higbee Receptions | 3.5 | 3.0 | 30% | 51% | 59 |
| Tyler Higbee Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 30% | 20% | 59 |
| Tutu Atwell Rec Yds | 19.5 | 19.0 | 25% | 47% | 55 |
| Tutu Atwell Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 12% | 9% | 55 |
| Kyren Williams Rush Yds | 73.5 | 73.0 | 41% | 47% | 53 |
| Kyren Williams Rush Att | 15.5 | 15.0 | 29% | 45% | 53 |
| Kyren Williams Rush TDs | 1.5 | 1.0 | 12% | 15% | 53 |
| Kyren Williams Rec Yds | 11.5 | 11.0 | 53% | 43% | 53 |
| Kyren Williams Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 12% | 11% | 53 |
| Puka Nacua Rec Yds | 95.5 | 95.0 | 44% | 48% | 44 |
| Puka Nacua Receptions | 7.5 | 7.0 | 50% | 41% | 44 |
| Puka Nacua Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 50% | 39% | 44 |
| Blake Corum Rush Yds | 24.5 | 24.0 | 59% | 44% | 32 |
| Blake Corum Rush Att | 7.5 | 7.0 | 59% | 41% | 32 |
| Blake Corum Rush TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 29% | 16% | 32 |
| Colby Parkinson Rec Yds | 21.5 | 21.0 | 57% | 40% | 30 |
| Colby Parkinson Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 43% | 23% | 30 |
| Xavier Smith Rec Yds | 0.5 | 0.0 | 62% | 37% | 30 |
| Davis Allen Rec Yds | 7.5 | 7.0 | 60% | 45% | 29 |
| Davis Allen Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 20% | 14% | 29 |
| Jordan Whittington Rec Yds | 7.5 | 7.0 | 47% | 41% | 29 |
| Ronnie Rivers Rush Yds | 0.5 | 0.0 | 33% | 52% | 23 |
| Ronnie Rivers Rush Att | 1.5 | 1.0 | 17% | 43% | 23 |
| Davante Adams Rec Yds | 56.5 | 56.0 | 50% | 50% | 14 |
| Davante Adams Receptions | 4.5 | 4.0 | 43% | 43% | 14 |
| Davante Adams Rec TDs | 1.5 | 1.0 | 29% | 29% | 14 |
Build a Rams parlay with live chemistry →
The interactive Parlay Architect recalculates everything — including with injured players excluded.
Based on 85 games across five seasons, the strongest positive relationships on the Rams are shown in the table above — pairs of props that historically go Over together. Positive chemistry means the legs tell one story; the joint hit column shows how often both actually landed in the same game.
Across the last five seasons the Over hit in 42 of 85 Rams games (49%), and 10 of 17 (59%) in the 2025 season. Totals context matters for every SGP: over-leaning games favor passing stacks, under-leaning games favor rush attempts and Unders.
Every figure is computed from complete game-level box scores for all 32 teams across the 2021–2025 seasons — 85 games for the Rams alone. Recent seasons are weighted more heavily. Lines shown are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines. Sample sizes are always displayed.
Rams player profiles: Matthew Stafford · Tyler Higbee · Tutu Atwell · Kyren Williams · Puka Nacua · Blake Corum
NFC West rivals: Arizona Cardinals · Seattle Seahawks · San Francisco 49ers
Guides: What is a correlated parlay? · SGP strategy that respects math · Why parlays lose money