Which Rams props actually win together — and which quietly fight each other? Everything below is computed from 85 real games (2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted). No picks, no locks: just the historical relationships, with sample sizes.
In 2025 the Rams averaged 30.5 points per game and the game total went Over in 10 of 17 games (59%). Over the full five-season sample the Over hit 49% of the time.
Chemistry is the recency-weighted correlation between two props' game-by-game results. Green pairs rise and fall together — one coherent story. The joint column counts games where both beat their typical line.
| Leg A | Leg B | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colby Parkinson Rec Yds | Colby Parkinson Receptions | +0.81 | 10 of 25 |
| Puka Nacua Rec Yds | Puka Nacua Receptions | +0.76 | 13 of 42 |
| Matthew Stafford Interceptions | Colby Parkinson Receptions | +0.63 | 6 of 25 |
| Matthew Stafford Pass Yds | Puka Nacua Rec Yds | +0.59 | 16 of 41 |
| Matthew Stafford Pass Yds | Puka Nacua Rec TDs | +0.49 | 11 of 47 |
| Matthew Stafford Pass TDs | Davante Adams Rec TDs | +0.48 | 9 of 17 |
| Blake Corum Rush Yds | Puka Nacua Rec TDs | +0.47 | 5 of 29 |
| Matthew Stafford Interceptions | Colby Parkinson Rec Yds | +0.46 | 6 of 25 |
Negative chemistry is not a warning — flip one leg to the Under and a fighting pair becomes a coherent story. How Under legs work in an SGP →
| Leg A | Leg B | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford Pass Yds | Davante Adams Rec TDs | -0.36 | 5 of 17 |
| Puka Nacua Receptions | Colby Parkinson Receptions | -0.38 | 2 of 19 |
| Davante Adams Rec TDs | Puka Nacua Rec TDs | -0.39 | 3 of 17 |
| Kyren Williams Rec Yds | Davante Adams Rec TDs | -0.40 | 3 of 15 |
Estimated lines are trailing medians of recent production — a stable reference point, not a live sportsbook quote.
| Prop | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford Pass TDs | 1.5 | 2.0 | 88% | 51% | 80 |
| Matthew Stafford Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.0 | 29% | 45% | 80 |
| Matthew Stafford Pass Yds | 272.5 | 269.0 | 53% | 49% | 72 |
| Kyren Williams Rush Att | 12.5 | 15.0 | 76% | 59% | 64 |
| Kyren Williams Rush TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 47% | 41% | 64 |
| Kyren Williams Rush Yds | 71.5 | 76.0 | 53% | 56% | 50 |
| Tyler Higbee Rec Yds | 32.5 | 33.0 | 50% | 55% | 49 |
| Puka Nacua Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 47% | 33% | 48 |
| Puka Nacua Rec Yds | 94.5 | 95.0 | 50% | 50% | 42 |
| Puka Nacua Receptions | 7.5 | 7.0 | 50% | 40% | 42 |
| Kyren Williams Rec Yds | 13.5 | 14.0 | 53% | 51% | 41 |
| Blake Corum Rush Yds | 43.5 | 25.0 | 53% | 31% | 29 |
| Colby Parkinson Rec Yds | 31.5 | 27.0 | 54% | 44% | 25 |
| Colby Parkinson Receptions | 2.5 | 3.0 | 62% | 48% | 25 |
| Davante Adams Rec TDs | 0.5 | 1.0 | 53% | 53% | 17 |
| Davante Adams Rec Yds | 57.5 | 56.0 | 50% | 50% | 14 |
| Xavier Smith Rec Yds | 14.5 | 14.0 | 50% | 45% | 11 |
Build a Rams parlay with live chemistry →
The interactive Parlay Architect recalculates everything — including with injured players excluded.
Based on 85 games across five seasons, the strongest positive relationships on the Rams are shown in the table above — pairs of props that historically go Over together. Positive chemistry means the legs tell one story; the joint hit column shows how often both actually landed in the same game.
Across the last five seasons the Over hit in 42 of 85 Rams games (49%), and 10 of 17 (59%) in the 2025 season. Totals context matters for every SGP: over-leaning games favor passing stacks, under-leaning games favor rush attempts and Unders.
Every figure is computed from complete game-level box scores for all 32 teams across the 2021–2025 seasons — 85 games for the Rams alone. Recent seasons are weighted more heavily. Lines shown are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines. Sample sizes are always displayed.
Rams player profiles: Matthew Stafford · Kyren Williams · Tyler Higbee · Puka Nacua · Blake Corum · Colby Parkinson
NFC West rivals: Arizona Cardinals · Seattle Seahawks · San Francisco 49ers
Guides: What is a correlated parlay? · SGP strategy that respects math · Why parlays lose money