Matthew Stafford (QB, Los Angeles Rams) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass TDs | 1.5 | 2.0 | 88% | 51% | 80 |
| Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.0 | 29% | 45% | 80 |
| Pass Yds | 272.5 | 269.0 | 53% | 49% | 72 |
Props that historically rise and fall with Matthew Stafford's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| Colby Parkinson Receptions | +0.63 | 6 of 25 |
| Puka Nacua Rec Yds | +0.59 | 16 of 41 |
| Puka Nacua Rec TDs | +0.49 | 11 of 47 |
| Davante Adams Rec TDs | +0.48 | 9 of 17 |
| Colby Parkinson Rec Yds | +0.46 | 6 of 25 |
| Puka Nacua Receptions | +0.44 | 11 of 41 |
Stack Matthew Stafford in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, Colby Parkinson — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
More Rams: Los Angeles Rams SGP page · Guides: QB-WR stacking · Player props 101