Matthew Stafford (QB, Los Angeles Rams) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass Yds | 269.5 | 269.0 | 53% | 49% | 74 |
| Pass TDs | 2.5 | 2.0 | 53% | 32% | 74 |
| Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.0 | 29% | 50% | 74 |
Props that historically rise and fall with Matthew Stafford's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| LA Points | +0.72 | 22 of 74 |
| Blake Corum Rush Att | +0.61 | 7 of 31 |
| Puka Nacua Rec Yds | +0.57 | 15 of 42 |
| Game Total Points | +0.55 | 23 of 74 |
| Xavier Smith Rec Yds | +0.52 | 3 of 29 |
| Puka Nacua Rec TDs | +0.52 | 9 of 42 |
Stack Matthew Stafford in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, LA Points — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
More Rams: Los Angeles Rams SGP page · Guides: QB-WR stacking · Player props 101