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Arizona Cardinals Same Game Parlay: Correlated Props & Hit Rates

Which Cardinals props actually win together — and which quietly fight each other? Everything below is computed from 85 real games (2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted). No picks, no locks: just the historical relationships, with sample sizes.

In 2025 the Cardinals averaged 20.9 points per game and the game total went Over in 10 of 17 games (59%). Over the full five-season sample the Over hit 54% of the time.

Props that win together (Cardinals chemistry pairs)

Chemistry is the recency-weighted correlation between two props' game-by-game results. Green pairs rise and fall together — one coherent story. The joint column counts games where both beat their typical line.

Leg ALeg BChemistryBoth Over
Michael Wilson Rec YdsMichael Wilson Receptions+0.9015 of 41
Trey McBride Rec YdsTrey McBride Receptions+0.8817 of 53
Jacoby Brissett Pass TDsTrey McBride Rec TDs+0.648 of 17
Jacoby Brissett InterceptionsMichael Wilson Rec Yds+0.636 of 17
Jacoby Brissett Pass TDsTrey McBride Receptions+0.618 of 17
Jacoby Brissett InterceptionsMichael Wilson Receptions+0.606 of 17
Jacoby Brissett Pass TDsTrey McBride Rec Yds+0.607 of 17
Jacoby Brissett Pass TDsMichael Wilson Rec Yds+0.527 of 17

Legs that fight (or: Under candidates)

Negative chemistry is not a warning — flip one leg to the Under and a fighting pair becomes a coherent story. How Under legs work in an SGP →

Leg ALeg BChemistryBoth Over
Emari Demercado Rush YdsMichael Wilson Rec Yds-0.294 of 25
Marvin Harrison Jr. Rec YdsElijah Higgins Rec Yds-0.314 of 22
Emari Demercado Rush YdsMichael Wilson Receptions-0.315 of 25
Bam Knight Rush TDsMichael Wilson Rec TDs-0.380 of 17

Cardinals player prop hit rates

Estimated lines are trailing medians of recent production — a stable reference point, not a live sportsbook quote.

PropEst. LineWtd MedianOver % '25Over % 5yrGames
Trey McBride Rec TDs0.50.053%17%64
Trey McBride Rec Yds71.562.053%34%53
Trey McBride Receptions6.56.059%40%53
Michael Carter Rush Att4.51.053%23%48
Michael Wilson Rec TDs0.50.035%25%48
Michael Wilson Rec Yds43.540.053%49%41
Michael Wilson Receptions2.53.071%61%41
Elijah Higgins Rec Yds16.513.054%48%31
Emari Demercado Rush Yds28.515.050%38%29
Marvin Harrison Jr. Rec Yds57.547.055%40%25
Michael Carter Rush Yds17.518.054%50%24
Michael Carter Rec Yds24.522.050%30%20
Jacoby Brissett Pass TDs1.52.059%59%17
Jacoby Brissett Interceptions0.50.041%41%17
Bam Knight Rush TDs0.50.024%24%17
Jacoby Brissett Pass Yds270.5261.050%50%12
Jacoby Brissett Rush Yds18.516.050%50%12

Build a Cardinals parlay with live chemistry →
The interactive Parlay Architect recalculates everything — including with injured players excluded.

FAQ

What are the best correlated props for a Arizona Cardinals same game parlay?

Based on 85 games across five seasons, the strongest positive relationships on the Cardinals are shown in the table above — pairs of props that historically go Over together. Positive chemistry means the legs tell one story; the joint hit column shows how often both actually landed in the same game.

How often does the Cardinals game total go Over?

Across the last five seasons the Over hit in 46 of 85 Cardinals games (54%), and 10 of 17 (59%) in the 2025 season. Totals context matters for every SGP: over-leaning games favor passing stacks, under-leaning games favor rush attempts and Unders.

Where do these numbers come from?

Every figure is computed from complete game-level box scores for all 32 teams across the 2021–2025 seasons — 85 games for the Cardinals alone. Recent seasons are weighted more heavily. Lines shown are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines. Sample sizes are always displayed.

Keep exploring

Cardinals player profiles: Trey McBride · Michael Carter · Michael Wilson · Elijah Higgins · Emari Demercado · Marvin Harrison Jr.

NFC West rivals: Los Angeles Rams · Seattle Seahawks · San Francisco 49ers

Guides: What is a correlated parlay? · SGP strategy that respects math · Why parlays lose money