Which Cardinals props actually win together — and which quietly fight each other? Everything below is computed from 85 real games (2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted). No picks, no locks: just the historical relationships, with sample sizes.
In 2025 the Cardinals averaged 20.9 points per game and the game total went Over in 10 of 17 games (59%). Over the full five-season sample the Over hit 54% of the time.
Chemistry is the recency-weighted correlation between two props' game-by-game results. Green pairs rise and fall together — one coherent story. The joint column counts games where both beat their typical line.
| Leg A | Leg B | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Wilson Rec Yds | Michael Wilson Receptions | +0.90 | 13 of 46 |
| Trey McBride Rec Yds | Trey McBride Receptions | +0.90 | 22 of 62 |
| Opponent Points | Game Total Points | +0.75 | 29 of 85 |
| ARI Points | Game Total Points | +0.56 | 27 of 85 |
| Opponent Points | Michael Wilson Rec Yds | +0.48 | 14 of 46 |
| Opponent Points | Michael Wilson Rec TDs | +0.48 | 11 of 46 |
| Opponent Points | Michael Wilson Receptions | +0.46 | 12 of 46 |
| ARI Points | Marvin Harrison Jr. Rec TDs | +0.38 | 7 of 29 |
Negative chemistry is not a warning — flip one leg to the Under and a fighting pair becomes a coherent story. How Under legs work in an SGP →
| Leg A | Leg B | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent Points | Marvin Harrison Jr. Receptions | -0.36 | 4 of 29 |
| Michael Wilson Rec TDs | Marvin Harrison Jr. Rec Yds | -0.45 | 2 of 28 |
| Opponent Points | Marvin Harrison Jr. Rec Yds | -0.46 | 3 of 29 |
| Michael Wilson Rec TDs | Marvin Harrison Jr. Receptions | -0.50 | 2 of 28 |
Estimated lines are trailing medians of recent production — a stable reference point, not a live sportsbook quote.
| Prop | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI Points | 21.5 | 21.0 | 41% | 49% | 85 |
| Opponent Points | 24.5 | 24.0 | 59% | 46% | 85 |
| Game Total Points | 48.5 | 48.0 | 59% | 45% | 85 |
| Trey McBride Rec Yds | 62.5 | 62.0 | 59% | 40% | 62 |
| Trey McBride Receptions | 6.5 | 6.0 | 59% | 39% | 62 |
| Trey McBride Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 53% | 24% | 62 |
| Michael Wilson Rec Yds | 40.5 | 40.0 | 53% | 46% | 46 |
| Michael Wilson Receptions | 3.5 | 3.0 | 47% | 37% | 46 |
| Michael Wilson Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 35% | 26% | 46 |
| Elijah Higgins Rec Yds | 11.5 | 11.0 | 41% | 49% | 43 |
| Elijah Higgins Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0% | 7% | 43 |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. Rec Yds | 47.5 | 47.0 | 50% | 48% | 29 |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. Receptions | 3.5 | 3.0 | 42% | 52% | 29 |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 33% | 38% | 29 |
| Jacoby Brissett Pass Yds | 258.5 | 258.0 | 50% | 50% | 14 |
| Jacoby Brissett Pass TDs | 2.5 | 2.0 | 7% | 7% | 14 |
| Jacoby Brissett Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.0 | 50% | 50% | 14 |
| Jacoby Brissett Rush Yds | 6.5 | 6.0 | 50% | 50% | 14 |
| Bam Knight Rush Yds | 16.5 | 16.0 | 50% | 50% | 12 |
| Bam Knight Rush Att | 7.5 | 7.0 | 50% | 50% | 12 |
| Bam Knight Rush TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 33% | 33% | 12 |
| Bam Knight Rec Yds | 13.5 | 13.0 | 50% | 50% | 12 |
Build a Cardinals parlay with live chemistry →
The interactive Parlay Architect recalculates everything — including with injured players excluded.
Based on 85 games across five seasons, the strongest positive relationships on the Cardinals are shown in the table above — pairs of props that historically go Over together. Positive chemistry means the legs tell one story; the joint hit column shows how often both actually landed in the same game.
Across the last five seasons the Over hit in 46 of 85 Cardinals games (54%), and 10 of 17 (59%) in the 2025 season. Totals context matters for every SGP: over-leaning games favor passing stacks, under-leaning games favor rush attempts and Unders.
Every figure is computed from complete game-level box scores for all 32 teams across the 2021–2025 seasons — 85 games for the Cardinals alone. Recent seasons are weighted more heavily. Lines shown are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines. Sample sizes are always displayed.
Cardinals player profiles: Trey McBride · Michael Wilson · Elijah Higgins · Marvin Harrison Jr. · Jacoby Brissett · Bam Knight
NFC West rivals: Los Angeles Rams · Seattle Seahawks · San Francisco 49ers
Guides: What is a correlated parlay? · SGP strategy that respects math · Why parlays lose money