Which Seahawks props actually win together — and which quietly fight each other? Everything below is computed from 85 real games (2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted). No picks, no locks: just the historical relationships, with sample sizes.
In 2025 the Seahawks averaged 28.4 points per game and the game total went Over in 9 of 17 games (53%). Over the full five-season sample the Over hit 46% of the time.
Chemistry is the recency-weighted correlation between two props' game-by-game results. Green pairs rise and fall together — one coherent story. The joint column counts games where both beat their typical line.
| Leg A | Leg B | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Barner Rec Yds | AJ Barner Receptions | +0.79 | 11 of 32 |
| Opponent Points | Game Total Points | +0.78 | 31 of 85 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba Rec Yds | Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions | +0.75 | 15 of 51 |
| SEA Points | Game Total Points | +0.75 | 31 of 85 |
| SEA Points | Sam Darnold Pass TDs | +0.66 | 7 of 17 |
| Game Total Points | Sam Darnold Pass TDs | +0.64 | 7 of 17 |
| Sam Darnold Interceptions | AJ Barner Receptions | +0.64 | 2 of 17 |
| Cooper Kupp Receptions | Sam Darnold Pass Yds | +0.62 | 5 of 16 |
Negative chemistry is not a warning — flip one leg to the Under and a fighting pair becomes a coherent story. How Under legs work in an SGP →
| Leg A | Leg B | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total Points | Sam Darnold Rush Yds | -0.26 | 2 of 17 |
| Cooper Kupp Receptions | Jaxon Smith-Njigba Rec TDs | -0.29 | 2 of 16 |
| SEA Points | Sam Darnold Rush Yds | -0.33 | 2 of 17 |
| Cooper Kupp Rec Yds | Sam Darnold Rush Yds | -0.34 | 3 of 16 |
Estimated lines are trailing medians of recent production — a stable reference point, not a live sportsbook quote.
| Prop | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA Points | 24.5 | 24.0 | 65% | 42% | 85 |
| Opponent Points | 20.5 | 20.0 | 29% | 53% | 85 |
| Game Total Points | 44.5 | 44.0 | 53% | 47% | 85 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba Rec Yds | 83.5 | 83.0 | 82% | 35% | 51 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions | 6.5 | 6.0 | 71% | 37% | 51 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 47% | 33% | 51 |
| AJ Barner Rec Yds | 24.5 | 24.0 | 59% | 44% | 32 |
| AJ Barner Receptions | 2.5 | 2.0 | 59% | 44% | 32 |
| AJ Barner Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 29% | 28% | 32 |
| Sam Darnold Pass Yds | 244.5 | 244.0 | 47% | 47% | 17 |
| Sam Darnold Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1.0 | 47% | 47% | 17 |
| Sam Darnold Interceptions | 1.5 | 1.0 | 18% | 18% | 17 |
| Sam Darnold Rush Yds | 2.5 | 2.0 | 41% | 41% | 17 |
| Cooper Kupp Rec Yds | 31.5 | 31.0 | 50% | 50% | 16 |
| Cooper Kupp Receptions | 2.5 | 2.0 | 44% | 44% | 16 |
Build a Seahawks parlay with live chemistry →
The interactive Parlay Architect recalculates everything — including with injured players excluded.
Based on 85 games across five seasons, the strongest positive relationships on the Seahawks are shown in the table above — pairs of props that historically go Over together. Positive chemistry means the legs tell one story; the joint hit column shows how often both actually landed in the same game.
Across the last five seasons the Over hit in 39 of 85 Seahawks games (46%), and 9 of 17 (53%) in the 2025 season. Totals context matters for every SGP: over-leaning games favor passing stacks, under-leaning games favor rush attempts and Unders.
Every figure is computed from complete game-level box scores for all 32 teams across the 2021–2025 seasons — 85 games for the Seahawks alone. Recent seasons are weighted more heavily. Lines shown are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines. Sample sizes are always displayed.
Seahawks player profiles: Jaxon Smith-Njigba · AJ Barner · Sam Darnold · Cooper Kupp
NFC West rivals: Arizona Cardinals · Los Angeles Rams · San Francisco 49ers
Guides: What is a correlated parlay? · SGP strategy that respects math · Why parlays lose money