Which Seahawks props actually win together — and which quietly fight each other? Everything below is computed from 85 real games (2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted). No picks, no locks: just the historical relationships, with sample sizes.
In 2025 the Seahawks averaged 28.4 points per game and the game total went Over in 9 of 17 games (53%). Over the full five-season sample the Over hit 46% of the time.
Chemistry is the recency-weighted correlation between two props' game-by-game results. Green pairs rise and fall together — one coherent story. The joint column counts games where both beat their typical line.
| Leg A | Leg B | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Barner Rec Yds | AJ Barner Receptions | +0.76 | 10 of 28 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba Rec Yds | Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions | +0.74 | 10 of 48 |
| Sam Darnold Interceptions | AJ Barner Receptions | +0.69 | 6 of 16 |
| Sam Darnold Pass Yds | Jaxon Smith-Njigba Rec Yds | +0.58 | 7 of 17 |
| Sam Darnold Pass Yds | Cooper Kupp Rec Yds | +0.49 | 6 of 16 |
| Sam Darnold Pass TDs | Jaxon Smith-Njigba Rec TDs | +0.48 | 6 of 17 |
| Sam Darnold Interceptions | AJ Barner Rec Yds | +0.45 | 5 of 15 |
| Sam Darnold Interceptions | Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions | +0.44 | 7 of 17 |
Negative chemistry is not a warning — flip one leg to the Under and a fighting pair becomes a coherent story. How Under legs work in an SGP →
| Leg A | Leg B | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Darnold Pass TDs | Kenneth Walker III Rush Att | -0.37 | 2 of 17 |
| Zach Charbonnet Rush Yds | Cooper Kupp Rec Yds | -0.38 | 3 of 15 |
| Sam Darnold Pass Yds | Zach Charbonnet Rush TDs | -0.56 | 3 of 17 |
| Sam Darnold Pass Yds | Zach Charbonnet Rush Yds | -0.73 | 1 of 16 |
Estimated lines are trailing medians of recent production — a stable reference point, not a live sportsbook quote.
| Prop | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker III Rush Att | 12.5 | 12.0 | 53% | 45% | 64 |
| Kenneth Walker III Rush Yds | 65.5 | 56.0 | 53% | 41% | 54 |
| Kenneth Walker III Rec Yds | 12.5 | 18.0 | 53% | 58% | 48 |
| Zach Charbonnet Rush TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 59% | 35% | 48 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 47% | 35% | 48 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba Rec Yds | 102.5 | 84.0 | 53% | 25% | 48 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions | 7.5 | 6.0 | 59% | 31% | 48 |
| Zach Charbonnet Rush Yds | 38.5 | 35.0 | 50% | 40% | 45 |
| AJ Barner Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 29% | 25% | 32 |
| AJ Barner Receptions | 2.5 | 2.0 | 62% | 45% | 29 |
| AJ Barner Rec Yds | 26.5 | 26.0 | 60% | 43% | 28 |
| Sam Darnold Pass Yds | 243.5 | 244.0 | 53% | 53% | 17 |
| Sam Darnold Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1.0 | 47% | 47% | 17 |
| Sam Darnold Interceptions | 0.5 | 1.0 | 53% | 53% | 17 |
| Cooper Kupp Rec Yds | 31.5 | 31.0 | 50% | 50% | 16 |
| Elijah Arroyo Rec Yds | 9.5 | 10.0 | 56% | 56% | 9 |
Build a Seahawks parlay with live chemistry →
The interactive Parlay Architect recalculates everything — including with injured players excluded.
Based on 85 games across five seasons, the strongest positive relationships on the Seahawks are shown in the table above — pairs of props that historically go Over together. Positive chemistry means the legs tell one story; the joint hit column shows how often both actually landed in the same game.
Across the last five seasons the Over hit in 39 of 85 Seahawks games (46%), and 9 of 17 (53%) in the 2025 season. Totals context matters for every SGP: over-leaning games favor passing stacks, under-leaning games favor rush attempts and Unders.
Every figure is computed from complete game-level box scores for all 32 teams across the 2021–2025 seasons — 85 games for the Seahawks alone. Recent seasons are weighted more heavily. Lines shown are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines. Sample sizes are always displayed.
Seahawks player profiles: Kenneth Walker III · Zach Charbonnet · Jaxon Smith-Njigba · AJ Barner · Sam Darnold · Cooper Kupp
NFC West rivals: Arizona Cardinals · Los Angeles Rams · San Francisco 49ers
Guides: What is a correlated parlay? · SGP strategy that respects math · Why parlays lose money