Sam Darnold (QB, Seattle Seahawks) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass Yds | 243.5 | 244.0 | 53% | 53% | 17 |
| Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1.0 | 47% | 47% | 17 |
| Interceptions | 0.5 | 1.0 | 53% | 53% | 17 |
Props that historically rise and fall with Sam Darnold's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Barner Receptions | +0.69 | 6 of 16 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba Rec Yds | +0.58 | 7 of 17 |
| Cooper Kupp Rec Yds | +0.49 | 6 of 16 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba Rec TDs | +0.48 | 6 of 17 |
| AJ Barner Rec Yds | +0.45 | 5 of 15 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions | +0.44 | 7 of 17 |
Stack Sam Darnold in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, AJ Barner — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
More Seahawks: Seattle Seahawks SGP page · Guides: QB-WR stacking · Player props 101