Which Texans props actually win together — and which quietly fight each other? Everything below is computed from 85 real games (2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted). No picks, no locks: just the historical relationships, with sample sizes.
In 2025 the Texans averaged 23.8 points per game and the game total went Over in 6 of 17 games (35%). Over the full five-season sample the Over hit 39% of the time.
Chemistry is the recency-weighted correlation between two props' game-by-game results. Green pairs rise and fall together — one coherent story. The joint column counts games where both beat their typical line.
| Leg A | Leg B | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Woody Marks Rush Yds | Woody Marks Rush Att | +0.83 | 8 of 16 |
| Dalton Schultz Rec Yds | Dalton Schultz Receptions | +0.83 | 13 of 46 |
| Woody Marks Rush Yds | Jayden Higgins Rec TDs | +0.69 | 6 of 16 |
| Woody Marks Rush Att | Jayden Higgins Rec Yds | +0.57 | 7 of 16 |
| Woody Marks Rush Yds | Jayden Higgins Rec Yds | +0.51 | 6 of 15 |
| Woody Marks Rush Att | Nico Collins Rec Yds | +0.50 | 6 of 15 |
| C.J. Stroud Pass TDs | Nico Collins Rec TDs | +0.41 | 9 of 48 |
| C.J. Stroud Pass Yds | Nico Collins Rec Yds | +0.38 | 14 of 35 |
Negative chemistry is not a warning — flip one leg to the Under and a fighting pair becomes a coherent story. How Under legs work in an SGP →
| Leg A | Leg B | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Woody Marks Rush Yds | Nico Collins Rec TDs | -0.43 | 0 of 16 |
| Nico Collins Rec TDs | Jayden Higgins Rec TDs | -0.44 | 0 of 17 |
| Woody Marks Rush Yds | Dalton Schultz Rec Yds | -0.46 | 3 of 16 |
| Woody Marks Rush Att | Nick Chubb Rush Yds | -0.60 | 5 of 15 |
Estimated lines are trailing medians of recent production — a stable reference point, not a live sportsbook quote.
| Prop | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Collins Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 29% | 24% | 80 |
| Nico Collins Rec Yds | 74.5 | 69.0 | 53% | 38% | 61 |
| Nico Collins Receptions | 3.5 | 4.0 | 67% | 61% | 61 |
| C.J. Stroud Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1.0 | 29% | 38% | 48 |
| C.J. Stroud Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.0 | 35% | 33% | 48 |
| Dalton Schultz Rec Yds | 38.5 | 34.0 | 53% | 43% | 46 |
| Dalton Schultz Receptions | 4.5 | 4.0 | 59% | 35% | 46 |
| C.J. Stroud Pass Yds | 228.5 | 234.0 | 50% | 63% | 43 |
| C.J. Stroud Rush Yds | 21.5 | 13.0 | 55% | 28% | 39 |
| Xavier Hutchinson Rec Yds | 28.5 | 18.0 | 50% | 35% | 26 |
| Woody Marks Rush Att | 9.5 | 10.0 | 65% | 65% | 17 |
| Jayden Higgins Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 35% | 35% | 17 |
| Woody Marks Rush Yds | 47.5 | 44.0 | 50% | 50% | 16 |
| Jayden Higgins Rec Yds | 31.5 | 32.0 | 56% | 56% | 16 |
| Nick Chubb Rush Yds | 33.5 | 34.0 | 60% | 60% | 15 |
| Woody Marks Rec Yds | 8.5 | 8.0 | 50% | 50% | 12 |
Build a Texans parlay with live chemistry →
The interactive Parlay Architect recalculates everything — including with injured players excluded.
Based on 85 games across five seasons, the strongest positive relationships on the Texans are shown in the table above — pairs of props that historically go Over together. Positive chemistry means the legs tell one story; the joint hit column shows how often both actually landed in the same game.
Across the last five seasons the Over hit in 33 of 85 Texans games (39%), and 6 of 17 (35%) in the 2025 season. Totals context matters for every SGP: over-leaning games favor passing stacks, under-leaning games favor rush attempts and Unders.
Every figure is computed from complete game-level box scores for all 32 teams across the 2021–2025 seasons — 85 games for the Texans alone. Recent seasons are weighted more heavily. Lines shown are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines. Sample sizes are always displayed.
Texans player profiles: Nico Collins · C.J. Stroud · Dalton Schultz · Xavier Hutchinson · Woody Marks · Jayden Higgins
AFC South rivals: Indianapolis Colts · Jacksonville Jaguars · Tennessee Titans
Guides: What is a correlated parlay? · SGP strategy that respects math · Why parlays lose money