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Tennessee Titans Same Game Parlay: Correlated Props & Hit Rates

Which Titans props actually win together — and which quietly fight each other? Everything below is computed from 85 real games (2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted). No picks, no locks: just the historical relationships, with sample sizes.

In 2025 the Titans averaged 16.7 points per game and the game total went Over in 11 of 17 games (65%). Over the full five-season sample the Over hit 46% of the time.

The signature stack: Cam Ward Pass Yds + Chig Okonkwo Rec Yds have a chemistry of +0.86 — both went Over their typical lines together in 8 of 16 shared games. Why QB-WR stacks work →

Props that win together (Titans chemistry pairs)

Chemistry is the recency-weighted correlation between two props' game-by-game results. Green pairs rise and fall together — one coherent story. The joint column counts games where both beat their typical line.

Leg ALeg BChemistryBoth Over
Tony Pollard Rush YdsTony Pollard Rush Att+0.8717 of 32
Cam Ward Pass YdsChig Okonkwo Rec Yds+0.868 of 16
Elic Ayomanor Rec YdsElic Ayomanor Receptions+0.767 of 16
Tony Pollard Rush AttElic Ayomanor Rec TDs+0.644 of 17
Cam Ward Pass YdsChig Okonkwo Receptions+0.595 of 16
Tony Pollard Rush YdsElic Ayomanor Rec TDs+0.503 of 17
Cam Ward Pass TDsTony Pollard Rush Yds+0.495 of 17
Cam Ward Pass YdsChimere Dike Rec Yds+0.476 of 15

Legs that fight (or: Under candidates)

Negative chemistry is not a warning — flip one leg to the Under and a fighting pair becomes a coherent story. How Under legs work in an SGP →

Leg ALeg BChemistryBoth Over
Elic Ayomanor Rec YdsGunnar Helm Rec Yds-0.422 of 15
Tony Pollard Rush YdsGunnar Helm Rec Yds-0.443 of 16
Elic Ayomanor Rec TDsGunnar Helm Rec Yds-0.451 of 16
Tony Pollard Rush AttGunnar Helm Rec Yds-0.543 of 16

Titans player prop hit rates

Estimated lines are trailing medians of recent production — a stable reference point, not a live sportsbook quote.

PropEst. LineWtd MedianOver % '25Over % 5yrGames
Chig Okonkwo Rec Yds39.533.050%38%56
Chig Okonkwo Receptions3.53.050%36%56
Tony Pollard Rush Yds59.560.053%56%32
Tony Pollard Rush Att13.514.059%62%32
Tony Pollard Rush TDs0.50.024%28%32
Tony Pollard Rec Yds11.513.057%64%28
Cam Ward Pass Yds193.5194.053%53%17
Cam Ward Pass TDs0.51.065%65%17
Cam Ward Interceptions0.50.041%41%17
Elic Ayomanor Rec TDs0.50.024%24%17
Chimere Dike Rec TDs0.50.024%24%17
Elic Ayomanor Rec Yds36.529.050%50%16
Elic Ayomanor Receptions2.52.050%50%16
Gunnar Helm Rec Yds22.516.050%50%16
Chimere Dike Rec Yds16.517.060%60%15
Cam Ward Rush Yds8.58.050%50%14

Build a Titans parlay with live chemistry →
The interactive Parlay Architect recalculates everything — including with injured players excluded.

FAQ

What are the best correlated props for a Tennessee Titans same game parlay?

Based on 85 games across five seasons, the strongest positive relationships on the Titans are shown in the table above — pairs of props that historically go Over together. Positive chemistry means the legs tell one story; the joint hit column shows how often both actually landed in the same game.

How often does the Titans game total go Over?

Across the last five seasons the Over hit in 39 of 85 Titans games (46%), and 11 of 17 (65%) in the 2025 season. Totals context matters for every SGP: over-leaning games favor passing stacks, under-leaning games favor rush attempts and Unders.

Where do these numbers come from?

Every figure is computed from complete game-level box scores for all 32 teams across the 2021–2025 seasons — 85 games for the Titans alone. Recent seasons are weighted more heavily. Lines shown are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines. Sample sizes are always displayed.

Keep exploring

Titans player profiles: Chig Okonkwo · Tony Pollard · Cam Ward · Elic Ayomanor · Chimere Dike · Gunnar Helm

AFC South rivals: Houston Texans · Indianapolis Colts · Jacksonville Jaguars

Guides: What is a correlated parlay? · SGP strategy that respects math · Why parlays lose money