Which Titans props actually win together — and which quietly fight each other? Everything below is computed from 85 real games (2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted). No picks, no locks: just the historical relationships, with sample sizes.
In 2025 the Titans averaged 16.7 points per game and the game total went Over in 11 of 17 games (65%). Over the full five-season sample the Over hit 46% of the time.
Chemistry is the recency-weighted correlation between two props' game-by-game results. Green pairs rise and fall together — one coherent story. The joint column counts games where both beat their typical line.
| Leg A | Leg B | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Pollard Rush Yds | Tony Pollard Rush Att | +0.85 | 14 of 33 |
| Calvin Ridley Rec Yds | Calvin Ridley Receptions | +0.83 | 9 of 24 |
| Opponent Points | Game Total Points | +0.75 | 30 of 85 |
| TEN Points | Cam Ward Pass TDs | +0.71 | 4 of 17 |
| Game Total Points | Chimere Dike Receptions | +0.68 | 6 of 17 |
| Game Total Points | Elic Ayomanor Rec TDs | +0.65 | 4 of 16 |
| Tony Pollard Rush Att | Elic Ayomanor Rec TDs | +0.63 | 4 of 16 |
| Cam Ward Pass TDs | Chimere Dike Receptions | +0.62 | 3 of 17 |
Negative chemistry is not a warning — flip one leg to the Under and a fighting pair becomes a coherent story. How Under legs work in an SGP →
| Leg A | Leg B | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elic Ayomanor Rec TDs | Gunnar Helm Rec Yds | -0.44 | 1 of 15 |
| Elic Ayomanor Rec Yds | Gunnar Helm Receptions | -0.51 | 1 of 15 |
| Tony Pollard Rush Att | Gunnar Helm Receptions | -0.52 | 1 of 16 |
| Tony Pollard Rush Att | Gunnar Helm Rec Yds | -0.54 | 1 of 16 |
Estimated lines are trailing medians of recent production — a stable reference point, not a live sportsbook quote.
| Prop | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEN Points | 17.5 | 17.0 | 53% | 48% | 85 |
| Opponent Points | 25.5 | 25.0 | 65% | 40% | 85 |
| Game Total Points | 43.5 | 43.0 | 59% | 46% | 85 |
| Tyjae Spears Rush Yds | 21.5 | 21.0 | 46% | 50% | 42 |
| Tyjae Spears Rush Att | 5.5 | 5.0 | 38% | 45% | 42 |
| Tyjae Spears Rush TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 15% | 17% | 42 |
| Tyjae Spears Rec Yds | 18.5 | 18.0 | 62% | 43% | 42 |
| Tony Pollard Rush Yds | 60.5 | 60.0 | 41% | 52% | 33 |
| Tony Pollard Rush Att | 14.5 | 14.0 | 35% | 52% | 33 |
| Tony Pollard Rush TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 24% | 27% | 33 |
| Tony Pollard Rec Yds | 12.5 | 12.0 | 35% | 45% | 33 |
| Calvin Ridley Rec Yds | 50.5 | 50.0 | 29% | 50% | 24 |
| Calvin Ridley Receptions | 3.5 | 3.0 | 29% | 42% | 24 |
| Calvin Ridley Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0% | 12% | 24 |
| Cam Ward Pass Yds | 194.5 | 194.0 | 47% | 47% | 17 |
| Cam Ward Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1.0 | 24% | 24% | 17 |
| Cam Ward Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.0 | 41% | 41% | 17 |
| Cam Ward Rush Yds | 7.5 | 7.0 | 47% | 47% | 17 |
| Chimere Dike Rec Yds | 17.5 | 17.0 | 41% | 41% | 17 |
| Chimere Dike Receptions | 3.5 | 3.0 | 35% | 35% | 17 |
| Chimere Dike Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 24% | 24% | 17 |
| Elic Ayomanor Rec Yds | 29.5 | 29.0 | 50% | 50% | 16 |
| Elic Ayomanor Receptions | 2.5 | 2.0 | 50% | 50% | 16 |
| Elic Ayomanor Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 25% | 25% | 16 |
| Gunnar Helm Rec Yds | 16.5 | 16.0 | 50% | 50% | 16 |
| Gunnar Helm Receptions | 2.5 | 2.0 | 44% | 44% | 16 |
Build a Titans parlay with live chemistry →
The interactive Parlay Architect recalculates everything — including with injured players excluded.
Based on 85 games across five seasons, the strongest positive relationships on the Titans are shown in the table above — pairs of props that historically go Over together. Positive chemistry means the legs tell one story; the joint hit column shows how often both actually landed in the same game.
Across the last five seasons the Over hit in 39 of 85 Titans games (46%), and 11 of 17 (65%) in the 2025 season. Totals context matters for every SGP: over-leaning games favor passing stacks, under-leaning games favor rush attempts and Unders.
Every figure is computed from complete game-level box scores for all 32 teams across the 2021–2025 seasons — 85 games for the Titans alone. Recent seasons are weighted more heavily. Lines shown are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines. Sample sizes are always displayed.
Titans player profiles: Tyjae Spears · Tony Pollard · Calvin Ridley · Cam Ward · Chimere Dike · Elic Ayomanor
AFC South rivals: Houston Texans · Indianapolis Colts · Jacksonville Jaguars
Guides: What is a correlated parlay? · SGP strategy that respects math · Why parlays lose money