Which Jaguars props actually win together — and which quietly fight each other? Everything below is computed from 85 real games (2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted). No picks, no locks: just the historical relationships, with sample sizes.
In 2025 the Jaguars averaged 27.9 points per game and the game total went Over in 10 of 17 games (59%). Over the full five-season sample the Over hit 47% of the time.
Chemistry is the recency-weighted correlation between two props' game-by-game results. Green pairs rise and fall together — one coherent story. The joint column counts games where both beat their typical line.
| Leg A | Leg B | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Washington Rec Yds | Parker Washington Receptions | +0.86 | 9 of 28 |
| Travis Etienne Rush Yds | Travis Etienne Rush Att | +0.71 | 15 of 60 |
| Trevor Lawrence Pass TDs | Travis Etienne Rec TDs | +0.65 | 4 of 80 |
| Trevor Lawrence Pass Yds | Travis Etienne Rec Yds | +0.52 | 19 of 48 |
| Trevor Lawrence Pass TDs | Travis Etienne Rec Yds | +0.39 | 14 of 54 |
| Travis Etienne Rush Att | Parker Washington Receptions | +0.39 | 4 of 28 |
| Travis Etienne Rush Yds | Parker Washington Receptions | +0.39 | 4 of 27 |
| Trevor Lawrence Rush TDs | Parker Washington Receptions | +0.38 | 4 of 28 |
Negative chemistry is not a warning — flip one leg to the Under and a fighting pair becomes a coherent story. How Under legs work in an SGP →
| Leg A | Leg B | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Etienne Rec Yds | Brenton Strange Receptions | -0.23 | 4 of 24 |
| Travis Etienne Rush Yds | Brian Thomas Jr. Rec Yds | -0.29 | 5 of 27 |
| Parker Washington Rec Yds | Brian Thomas Jr. Rec Yds | -0.35 | 7 of 20 |
| Trevor Lawrence Rush Yds | Brenton Strange Receptions | -0.44 | 2 of 21 |
Estimated lines are trailing medians of recent production — a stable reference point, not a live sportsbook quote.
| Prop | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Lawrence Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1.0 | 47% | 31% | 80 |
| Trevor Lawrence Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.0 | 53% | 45% | 80 |
| Travis Etienne Rush Att | 15.5 | 13.0 | 53% | 26% | 80 |
| Trevor Lawrence Rush TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 35% | 20% | 80 |
| Travis Etienne Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 24% | 6% | 80 |
| Trevor Lawrence Pass Yds | 243.5 | 234.0 | 53% | 43% | 72 |
| Trevor Lawrence Rush Yds | 17.5 | 16.0 | 53% | 45% | 71 |
| Travis Etienne Rush Yds | 57.5 | 52.0 | 53% | 37% | 60 |
| Travis Etienne Rec Yds | 15.5 | 16.0 | 53% | 61% | 54 |
| Parker Washington Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 29% | 17% | 48 |
| Brian Thomas Jr. Rec Yds | 48.5 | 55.0 | 64% | 66% | 29 |
| Parker Washington Rec Yds | 52.5 | 46.0 | 50% | 39% | 28 |
| Parker Washington Receptions | 3.5 | 3.0 | 57% | 43% | 28 |
| Brenton Strange Rec Yds | 44.5 | 27.0 | 58% | 37% | 27 |
| Brenton Strange Receptions | 3.5 | 3.0 | 50% | 33% | 27 |
| Jakobi Meyers Rec Yds | 44.5 | 45.0 | 56% | 56% | 9 |
Build a Jaguars parlay with live chemistry →
The interactive Parlay Architect recalculates everything — including with injured players excluded.
Based on 85 games across five seasons, the strongest positive relationships on the Jaguars are shown in the table above — pairs of props that historically go Over together. Positive chemistry means the legs tell one story; the joint hit column shows how often both actually landed in the same game.
Across the last five seasons the Over hit in 40 of 85 Jaguars games (47%), and 10 of 17 (59%) in the 2025 season. Totals context matters for every SGP: over-leaning games favor passing stacks, under-leaning games favor rush attempts and Unders.
Every figure is computed from complete game-level box scores for all 32 teams across the 2021–2025 seasons — 85 games for the Jaguars alone. Recent seasons are weighted more heavily. Lines shown are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines. Sample sizes are always displayed.
Jaguars player profiles: Trevor Lawrence · Travis Etienne · Parker Washington · Brian Thomas Jr. · Brenton Strange · Jakobi Meyers
AFC South rivals: Houston Texans · Indianapolis Colts · Tennessee Titans
Guides: What is a correlated parlay? · SGP strategy that respects math · Why parlays lose money