Brian Thomas Jr. (WR, Jacksonville Jaguars) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rec Yds | 55.5 | 55.0 | 29% | 52% | 31 |
| Receptions | 4.5 | 4.0 | 14% | 39% | 31 |
| Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 14% | 35% | 31 |
Props that historically rise and fall with Brian Thomas Jr.'s production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Lawrence Pass TDs | +0.28 | 5 of 24 |
| Opponent Points | +0.19 | 6 of 31 |
| Brenton Strange Receptions | +0.17 | 3 of 25 |
| Game Total Points | +0.15 | 9 of 31 |
| Trevor Lawrence Pass Yds | +0.11 | 5 of 24 |
| Parker Washington Rec TDs | +0.11 | 4 of 27 |
Stack Brian Thomas Jr. in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, Trevor Lawrence — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
More Jaguars: Jacksonville Jaguars SGP page · Guides: QB-WR stacking · Player props 101