C.J. Stroud (QB, Houston Texans) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1.0 | 29% | 38% | 48 |
| Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.0 | 35% | 33% | 48 |
| Pass Yds | 228.5 | 234.0 | 50% | 63% | 43 |
| Rush Yds | 21.5 | 13.0 | 55% | 28% | 39 |
Props that historically rise and fall with C.J. Stroud's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| Nico Collins Rec TDs | +0.41 | 9 of 48 |
| Nico Collins Rec Yds | +0.38 | 14 of 35 |
| Jayden Higgins Rec Yds | +0.36 | 4 of 16 |
| Nick Chubb Rush Yds | +0.26 | 3 of 15 |
| Nico Collins Receptions | +0.16 | 17 of 35 |
| Dalton Schultz Rec Yds | +0.16 | 6 of 46 |
Stack C.J. Stroud in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, Nico Collins — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
More Texans: Houston Texans SGP page · Guides: QB-WR stacking · Player props 101