C.J. Stroud (QB, Houston Texans) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass Yds | 233.5 | 233.0 | 36% | 54% | 46 |
| Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1.0 | 36% | 41% | 46 |
| Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.0 | 43% | 37% | 46 |
| Rush Yds | 11.5 | 11.0 | 50% | 48% | 46 |
| Rush TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 7% | 9% | 46 |
Props that historically rise and fall with C.J. Stroud's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| HOU Points | +0.69 | 12 of 46 |
| Game Total Points | +0.54 | 12 of 46 |
| Nico Collins Rec TDs | +0.50 | 10 of 38 |
| Xavier Hutchinson Rec TDs | +0.49 | 2 of 38 |
| Xavier Hutchinson Rec Yds | +0.48 | 2 of 38 |
| Cade Stover Rec Yds | +0.43 | 7 of 19 |
Stack C.J. Stroud in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, HOU Points — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
More Texans: Houston Texans SGP page · Guides: QB-WR stacking · Player props 101