Nico Collins (WR, Houston Texans) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rec Yds | 65.5 | 65.0 | 53% | 39% | 66 |
| Receptions | 4.5 | 4.0 | 33% | 36% | 66 |
| Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 33% | 32% | 66 |
Props that historically rise and fall with Nico Collins's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| C.J. Stroud Pass TDs | +0.50 | 10 of 38 |
| Davis Mills Rush TDs | +0.47 | 1 of 30 |
| C.J. Stroud Pass Yds | +0.41 | 14 of 38 |
| HOU Points | +0.32 | 12 of 66 |
| Davis Mills Pass Yds | +0.26 | 5 of 30 |
| Game Total Points | +0.19 | 11 of 66 |
Stack Nico Collins in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, C.J. Stroud — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
More Texans: Houston Texans SGP page · Guides: QB-WR stacking · Player props 101