Which Ravens props actually win together — and which quietly fight each other? Everything below is computed from 85 real games (2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted). No picks, no locks: just the historical relationships, with sample sizes.
In 2025 the Ravens averaged 24.9 points per game and the game total went Over in 11 of 17 games (65%). Over the full five-season sample the Over hit 53% of the time.
Chemistry is the recency-weighted correlation between two props' game-by-game results. Green pairs rise and fall together — one coherent story. The joint column counts games where both beat their typical line.
| Leg A | Leg B | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Andrews Rec Yds | Mark Andrews Receptions | +0.84 | 56 of 68 |
| Derrick Henry Rush Yds | Derrick Henry Rush Att | +0.71 | 14 of 32 |
| Lamar Jackson Rush Yds | Keaton Mitchell Rush Yds | +0.69 | 9 of 15 |
| Lamar Jackson Pass TDs | Mark Andrews Rec TDs | +0.50 | 15 of 80 |
| Keaton Mitchell Rush Yds | Mark Andrews Receptions | +0.46 | 8 of 15 |
| Derrick Henry Rec Yds | Isaiah Likely Rec Yds | +0.43 | 4 of 15 |
| Keaton Mitchell Rush Yds | Mark Andrews Rec Yds | +0.38 | 6 of 15 |
| Lamar Jackson Interceptions | Derrick Henry Rec Yds | +0.34 | 4 of 20 |
Negative chemistry is not a warning — flip one leg to the Under and a fighting pair becomes a coherent story. How Under legs work in an SGP →
| Leg A | Leg B | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zay Flowers Rec Yds | Mark Andrews Receptions | -0.41 | 16 of 40 |
| Lamar Jackson Pass TDs | Derrick Henry Rec Yds | -0.43 | 5 of 20 |
| Lamar Jackson Pass TDs | Derrick Henry Rush TDs | -0.44 | 7 of 32 |
| Derrick Henry Rush Att | Isaiah Likely Rec Yds | -0.46 | 10 of 23 |
Estimated lines are trailing medians of recent production — a stable reference point, not a live sportsbook quote.
| Prop | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Jackson Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1.0 | 35% | 36% | 80 |
| Lamar Jackson Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.0 | 35% | 36% | 80 |
| Mark Andrews Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 18% | 32% | 80 |
| Lamar Jackson Pass Yds | 203.5 | 219.0 | 54% | 65% | 68 |
| Lamar Jackson Rush Yds | 25.5 | 40.0 | 54% | 81% | 68 |
| Mark Andrews Rec Yds | 21.5 | 32.0 | 53% | 82% | 68 |
| Mark Andrews Receptions | 1.5 | 3.0 | 76% | 94% | 68 |
| Zay Flowers Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 24% | 25% | 48 |
| Zay Flowers Rec Yds | 71.5 | 68.0 | 53% | 46% | 48 |
| Zay Flowers Receptions | 4.5 | 5.0 | 59% | 58% | 48 |
| Isaiah Likely Rec Yds | 16.5 | 25.0 | 55% | 66% | 44 |
| Derrick Henry Rush Yds | 93.5 | 94.0 | 53% | 50% | 32 |
| Derrick Henry Rush Att | 17.5 | 18.0 | 65% | 59% | 32 |
| Derrick Henry Rush TDs | 0.5 | 1.0 | 53% | 59% | 32 |
| Derrick Henry Rec Yds | 12.5 | 12.0 | 50% | 50% | 20 |
| Keaton Mitchell Rush Yds | 30.5 | 31.0 | 50% | 67% | 18 |
| DeAndre Hopkins Rec Yds | 24.5 | 20.0 | 50% | 50% | 12 |
Build a Ravens parlay with live chemistry →
The interactive Parlay Architect recalculates everything — including with injured players excluded.
Based on 85 games across five seasons, the strongest positive relationships on the Ravens are shown in the table above — pairs of props that historically go Over together. Positive chemistry means the legs tell one story; the joint hit column shows how often both actually landed in the same game.
Across the last five seasons the Over hit in 45 of 85 Ravens games (53%), and 11 of 17 (65%) in the 2025 season. Totals context matters for every SGP: over-leaning games favor passing stacks, under-leaning games favor rush attempts and Unders.
Every figure is computed from complete game-level box scores for all 32 teams across the 2021–2025 seasons — 85 games for the Ravens alone. Recent seasons are weighted more heavily. Lines shown are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines. Sample sizes are always displayed.
Ravens player profiles: Lamar Jackson · Mark Andrews · Zay Flowers · Isaiah Likely · Derrick Henry · Keaton Mitchell
AFC North rivals: Cincinnati Bengals · Cleveland Browns · Pittsburgh Steelers
Guides: What is a correlated parlay? · SGP strategy that respects math · Why parlays lose money