Which Ravens props actually win together — and which quietly fight each other? Everything below is computed from 85 real games (2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted). No picks, no locks: just the historical relationships, with sample sizes.
In 2025 the Ravens averaged 24.9 points per game and the game total went Over in 11 of 17 games (65%). Over the full five-season sample the Over hit 53% of the time.
Chemistry is the recency-weighted correlation between two props' game-by-game results. Green pairs rise and fall together — one coherent story. The joint column counts games where both beat their typical line.
| Leg A | Leg B | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Andrews Rec Yds | Mark Andrews Receptions | +0.83 | 43 of 76 |
| Tyler Huntley Pass Yds | Tyler Huntley Rush Yds | +0.77 | 9 of 22 |
| Opponent Points | Game Total Points | +0.75 | 28 of 85 |
| BAL Points | Lamar Jackson Pass TDs | +0.70 | 16 of 70 |
| BAL Points | Game Total Points | +0.67 | 24 of 85 |
| Lamar Jackson Pass TDs | Rashod Bateman Rec TDs | +0.60 | 9 of 53 |
| Derrick Henry Rush Att | Lamar Jackson Rush TDs | +0.55 | 5 of 30 |
| Derrick Henry Rush Yds | Lamar Jackson Rush TDs | +0.53 | 5 of 30 |
Negative chemistry is not a warning — flip one leg to the Under and a fighting pair becomes a coherent story. How Under legs work in an SGP →
| Leg A | Leg B | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Henry Rush TDs | Justice Hill Rush Yds | -0.35 | 2 of 25 |
| BAL Points | Lamar Jackson Interceptions | -0.38 | 8 of 70 |
| Derrick Henry Rush TDs | Justice Hill Rush TDs | -0.41 | 0 of 25 |
| Derrick Henry Rush TDs | Lamar Jackson Pass TDs | -0.41 | 1 of 30 |
Estimated lines are trailing medians of recent production — a stable reference point, not a live sportsbook quote.
| Prop | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL Points | 27.5 | 27.0 | 35% | 40% | 85 |
| Opponent Points | 20.5 | 20.0 | 53% | 47% | 85 |
| Game Total Points | 49.5 | 49.0 | 47% | 40% | 85 |
| Mark Andrews Rec Yds | 32.5 | 32.0 | 18% | 66% | 76 |
| Mark Andrews Receptions | 3.5 | 3.0 | 29% | 61% | 76 |
| Mark Andrews Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 18% | 37% | 76 |
| Lamar Jackson Pass Yds | 217.5 | 217.0 | 38% | 53% | 70 |
| Lamar Jackson Pass TDs | 2.5 | 2.0 | 31% | 26% | 70 |
| Lamar Jackson Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.0 | 46% | 41% | 70 |
| Lamar Jackson Rush Yds | 43.5 | 43.0 | 15% | 57% | 70 |
| Lamar Jackson Rush TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 15% | 19% | 70 |
| Rashod Bateman Rec Yds | 24.5 | 24.0 | 15% | 56% | 62 |
| Rashod Bateman Receptions | 2.5 | 2.0 | 8% | 44% | 62 |
| Rashod Bateman Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 15% | 23% | 62 |
| Justice Hill Rush Yds | 7.5 | 7.0 | 20% | 54% | 56 |
| Justice Hill Rush Att | 2.5 | 2.0 | 30% | 55% | 56 |
| Justice Hill Rush TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 20% | 9% | 56 |
| Justice Hill Rec Yds | 12.5 | 12.0 | 50% | 36% | 56 |
| Justice Hill Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 10% | 9% | 56 |
| Zay Flowers Rec Yds | 64.5 | 64.0 | 59% | 46% | 50 |
| Zay Flowers Receptions | 5.5 | 5.0 | 41% | 36% | 50 |
| Zay Flowers Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 24% | 24% | 50 |
| Derrick Henry Rush Yds | 94.5 | 94.0 | 47% | 50% | 34 |
| Derrick Henry Rush Att | 18.5 | 18.0 | 47% | 50% | 34 |
| Derrick Henry Rush TDs | 1.5 | 1.0 | 29% | 26% | 34 |
| Tyler Huntley Pass Yds | 68.5 | 68.0 | 40% | 59% | 22 |
| Tyler Huntley Pass TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 40% | 41% | 22 |
| Tyler Huntley Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0% | 27% | 22 |
| Tyler Huntley Rush Yds | 31.5 | 31.0 | 60% | 45% | 22 |
| Tyler Huntley Rush TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0% | 9% | 22 |
Build a Ravens parlay with live chemistry →
The interactive Parlay Architect recalculates everything — including with injured players excluded.
Based on 85 games across five seasons, the strongest positive relationships on the Ravens are shown in the table above — pairs of props that historically go Over together. Positive chemistry means the legs tell one story; the joint hit column shows how often both actually landed in the same game.
Across the last five seasons the Over hit in 45 of 85 Ravens games (53%), and 11 of 17 (65%) in the 2025 season. Totals context matters for every SGP: over-leaning games favor passing stacks, under-leaning games favor rush attempts and Unders.
Every figure is computed from complete game-level box scores for all 32 teams across the 2021–2025 seasons — 85 games for the Ravens alone. Recent seasons are weighted more heavily. Lines shown are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines. Sample sizes are always displayed.
Ravens player profiles: Mark Andrews · Lamar Jackson · Rashod Bateman · Justice Hill · Zay Flowers · Derrick Henry
AFC North rivals: Cincinnati Bengals · Cleveland Browns · Pittsburgh Steelers
Guides: What is a correlated parlay? · SGP strategy that respects math · Why parlays lose money