Derrick Henry (RB, Baltimore Ravens) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rush Yds | 93.5 | 94.0 | 53% | 50% | 32 |
| Rush Att | 17.5 | 18.0 | 65% | 59% | 32 |
| Rush TDs | 0.5 | 1.0 | 53% | 59% | 32 |
| Rec Yds | 12.5 | 12.0 | 50% | 50% | 20 |
Props that historically rise and fall with Derrick Henry's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Likely Rec Yds | +0.43 | 4 of 15 |
| Lamar Jackson Interceptions | +0.34 | 4 of 20 |
| Zay Flowers Rec TDs | +0.30 | 5 of 32 |
| Zay Flowers Rec Yds | +0.09 | 11 of 32 |
| Zay Flowers Receptions | +0.07 | 12 of 32 |
| Lamar Jackson Rush Yds | +0.06 | 12 of 28 |
Stack Derrick Henry in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, Isaiah Likely — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
More Ravens: Baltimore Ravens SGP page · Guides: QB-WR stacking · Player props 101