Derrick Henry (RB, Baltimore Ravens) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rush Yds | 94.5 | 94.0 | 47% | 50% | 34 |
| Rush Att | 18.5 | 18.0 | 47% | 50% | 34 |
| Rush TDs | 1.5 | 1.0 | 29% | 26% | 34 |
Props that historically rise and fall with Derrick Henry's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| Lamar Jackson Rush TDs | +0.55 | 5 of 30 |
| Justice Hill Rush Att | +0.42 | 6 of 25 |
| BAL Points | +0.39 | 12 of 34 |
| Game Total Points | +0.29 | 6 of 34 |
| Zay Flowers Rec TDs | +0.28 | 5 of 34 |
| Justice Hill Rec TDs | +0.15 | 2 of 25 |
Stack Derrick Henry in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, Lamar Jackson — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
More Ravens: Baltimore Ravens SGP page · Guides: QB-WR stacking · Player props 101