Which Eagles props actually win together — and which quietly fight each other? Everything below is computed from 85 real games (2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted). No picks, no locks: just the historical relationships, with sample sizes.
In 2025 the Eagles averaged 22.3 points per game and the game total went Over in 7 of 17 games (41%). Over the full five-season sample the Over hit 51% of the time.
Chemistry is the recency-weighted correlation between two props' game-by-game results. Green pairs rise and fall together — one coherent story. The joint column counts games where both beat their typical line.
| Leg A | Leg B | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Goedert Rec Yds | Dallas Goedert Receptions | +0.83 | 35 of 58 |
| DeVonta Smith Rec Yds | DeVonta Smith Receptions | +0.75 | 39 of 74 |
| Jalen Hurts Pass Yds | A.J. Brown Rec Yds | +0.56 | 29 of 57 |
| Jalen Hurts Pass Yds | DeVonta Smith Rec Yds | +0.54 | 31 of 72 |
| Jalen Hurts Pass TDs | A.J. Brown Rec TDs | +0.52 | 19 of 64 |
| Jalen Hurts Pass TDs | Dallas Goedert Rec TDs | +0.50 | 14 of 80 |
| Jalen Hurts Pass Yds | DeVonta Smith Receptions | +0.48 | 37 of 72 |
| Jalen Hurts Pass TDs | DeVonta Smith Rec Yds | +0.35 | 22 of 74 |
Negative chemistry is not a warning — flip one leg to the Under and a fighting pair becomes a coherent story. How Under legs work in an SGP →
| Leg A | Leg B | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Hurts Pass Yds | Saquon Barkley Rush Yds | -0.30 | 9 of 31 |
| A.J. Brown Rec TDs | Dallas Goedert Receptions | -0.30 | 10 of 44 |
| Jalen Hurts Pass TDs | Dallas Goedert Receptions | -0.36 | 18 of 59 |
| Jalen Hurts Pass Yds | Saquon Barkley Rush Att | -0.45 | 10 of 31 |
Estimated lines are trailing medians of recent production — a stable reference point, not a live sportsbook quote.
| Prop | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Hurts Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1.0 | 47% | 42% | 80 |
| Jalen Hurts Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.0 | 18% | 34% | 80 |
| Jalen Hurts Rush TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 35% | 51% | 80 |
| Dallas Goedert Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 47% | 24% | 80 |
| Jalen Hurts Pass Yds | 184.5 | 202.0 | 50% | 63% | 76 |
| Jalen Hurts Rush Yds | 30.5 | 33.0 | 50% | 64% | 76 |
| DeVonta Smith Rec Yds | 49.5 | 52.0 | 53% | 59% | 74 |
| DeVonta Smith Receptions | 3.5 | 4.0 | 65% | 70% | 74 |
| A.J. Brown Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 29% | 36% | 64 |
| Dallas Goedert Receptions | 2.5 | 4.0 | 73% | 78% | 59 |
| Dallas Goedert Rec Yds | 31.5 | 36.0 | 53% | 64% | 58 |
| A.J. Brown Rec Yds | 67.5 | 80.0 | 53% | 60% | 57 |
| Saquon Barkley Rush Att | 17.5 | 19.0 | 65% | 69% | 32 |
| Saquon Barkley Rush Yds | 59.5 | 78.0 | 56% | 74% | 31 |
| Saquon Barkley Rec Yds | 23.5 | 14.0 | 50% | 40% | 25 |
| Tank Bigsby Rush Yds | 33.5 | 11.0 | 50% | 50% | 10 |
Build a Eagles parlay with live chemistry →
The interactive Parlay Architect recalculates everything — including with injured players excluded.
Based on 85 games across five seasons, the strongest positive relationships on the Eagles are shown in the table above — pairs of props that historically go Over together. Positive chemistry means the legs tell one story; the joint hit column shows how often both actually landed in the same game.
Across the last five seasons the Over hit in 43 of 85 Eagles games (51%), and 7 of 17 (41%) in the 2025 season. Totals context matters for every SGP: over-leaning games favor passing stacks, under-leaning games favor rush attempts and Unders.
Every figure is computed from complete game-level box scores for all 32 teams across the 2021–2025 seasons — 85 games for the Eagles alone. Recent seasons are weighted more heavily. Lines shown are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines. Sample sizes are always displayed.
Eagles player profiles: Jalen Hurts · Dallas Goedert · DeVonta Smith · A.J. Brown · Saquon Barkley · Tank Bigsby
NFC East rivals: Dallas Cowboys · New York Giants · Washington Commanders
Guides: What is a correlated parlay? · SGP strategy that respects math · Why parlays lose money