Which Eagles props actually win together — and which quietly fight each other? Everything below is computed from 85 real games (2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted). No picks, no locks: just the historical relationships, with sample sizes.
In 2025 the Eagles averaged 22.3 points per game and the game total went Over in 7 of 17 games (41%). Over the full five-season sample the Over hit 51% of the time.
Chemistry is the recency-weighted correlation between two props' game-by-game results. Green pairs rise and fall together — one coherent story. The joint column counts games where both beat their typical line.
| Leg A | Leg B | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Goedert Rec Yds | Dallas Goedert Receptions | +0.84 | 25 of 66 |
| DeVonta Smith Rec Yds | DeVonta Smith Receptions | +0.76 | 33 of 80 |
| Opponent Points | Game Total Points | +0.75 | 31 of 85 |
| PHI Points | Game Total Points | +0.70 | 34 of 85 |
| Dallas Goedert Rec TDs | Jalen Hurts Pass TDs | +0.55 | 14 of 62 |
| Jalen Hurts Pass Yds | DeVonta Smith Rec Yds | +0.53 | 25 of 74 |
| PHI Points | Jalen Hurts Pass TDs | +0.50 | 26 of 78 |
| Jalen Hurts Pass Yds | DeVonta Smith Receptions | +0.47 | 24 of 74 |
Negative chemistry is not a warning — flip one leg to the Under and a fighting pair becomes a coherent story. How Under legs work in an SGP →
| Leg A | Leg B | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Hurts Pass TDs | Jalen Hurts Rush TDs | -0.33 | 2 of 78 |
| Dallas Goedert Receptions | DeVonta Smith Rec TDs | -0.35 | 2 of 61 |
| Saquon Barkley Rush TDs | DeVonta Smith Rec TDs | -0.38 | 2 of 29 |
| Saquon Barkley Rush Att | Jalen Hurts Pass Yds | -0.45 | 5 of 31 |
Estimated lines are trailing medians of recent production — a stable reference point, not a live sportsbook quote.
| Prop | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI Points | 24.5 | 24.0 | 35% | 53% | 85 |
| Opponent Points | 20.5 | 20.0 | 53% | 44% | 85 |
| Game Total Points | 44.5 | 44.0 | 41% | 52% | 85 |
| DeVonta Smith Rec Yds | 52.5 | 52.0 | 41% | 52% | 80 |
| DeVonta Smith Receptions | 4.5 | 4.0 | 41% | 52% | 80 |
| DeVonta Smith Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 24% | 35% | 80 |
| Jalen Hurts Pass Yds | 202.5 | 202.0 | 44% | 51% | 78 |
| Jalen Hurts Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1.0 | 50% | 44% | 78 |
| Jalen Hurts Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.0 | 19% | 37% | 78 |
| Jalen Hurts Rush Yds | 33.5 | 33.0 | 31% | 56% | 78 |
| Jalen Hurts Rush TDs | 1.5 | 1.0 | 12% | 21% | 78 |
| Dallas Goedert Rec Yds | 35.5 | 35.0 | 40% | 58% | 66 |
| Dallas Goedert Receptions | 4.5 | 4.0 | 27% | 39% | 66 |
| Dallas Goedert Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 53% | 29% | 66 |
| Saquon Barkley Rush Yds | 83.5 | 83.0 | 25% | 53% | 32 |
| Saquon Barkley Rush Att | 19.5 | 19.0 | 38% | 50% | 32 |
| Saquon Barkley Rush TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 44% | 47% | 32 |
| Saquon Barkley Rec Yds | 9.5 | 9.0 | 44% | 50% | 32 |
| Saquon Barkley Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 12% | 12% | 32 |
Build a Eagles parlay with live chemistry →
The interactive Parlay Architect recalculates everything — including with injured players excluded.
Based on 85 games across five seasons, the strongest positive relationships on the Eagles are shown in the table above — pairs of props that historically go Over together. Positive chemistry means the legs tell one story; the joint hit column shows how often both actually landed in the same game.
Across the last five seasons the Over hit in 43 of 85 Eagles games (51%), and 7 of 17 (41%) in the 2025 season. Totals context matters for every SGP: over-leaning games favor passing stacks, under-leaning games favor rush attempts and Unders.
Every figure is computed from complete game-level box scores for all 32 teams across the 2021–2025 seasons — 85 games for the Eagles alone. Recent seasons are weighted more heavily. Lines shown are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines. Sample sizes are always displayed.
Eagles player profiles: DeVonta Smith · Jalen Hurts · Dallas Goedert · Saquon Barkley
NFC East rivals: Dallas Cowboys · New York Giants · Washington Commanders
Guides: What is a correlated parlay? · SGP strategy that respects math · Why parlays lose money