Which Jets props actually win together — and which quietly fight each other? Everything below is computed from 85 real games (2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted). No picks, no locks: just the historical relationships, with sample sizes.
In 2025 the Jets averaged 17.6 points per game and the game total went Over in 11 of 17 games (65%). Over the full five-season sample the Over hit 51% of the time.
Chemistry is the recency-weighted correlation between two props' game-by-game results. Green pairs rise and fall together — one coherent story. The joint column counts games where both beat their typical line.
| Leg A | Leg B | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Fields Pass TDs | Breece Hall Rush Yds | +0.68 | 5 of 16 |
| Garrett Wilson Rec Yds | Garrett Wilson Receptions | +0.66 | 15 of 51 |
| Breece Hall Rush Yds | Breece Hall Rush Att | +0.61 | 18 of 53 |
| Justin Fields Pass TDs | Garrett Wilson Rec TDs | +0.54 | 3 of 17 |
| Justin Fields Rush TDs | Garrett Wilson Rec TDs | +0.52 | 2 of 17 |
| Justin Fields Interceptions | Breece Hall Rush Att | +0.33 | 1 of 17 |
| Breece Hall Rush Yds | Justin Fields Rush TDs | +0.29 | 2 of 16 |
| Justin Fields Pass TDs | Breece Hall Rush Att | +0.27 | 6 of 17 |
Negative chemistry is not a warning — flip one leg to the Under and a fighting pair becomes a coherent story. How Under legs work in an SGP →
| Leg A | Leg B | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Fields Interceptions | Justin Fields Rush TDs | -0.11 | 0 of 17 |
| Breece Hall Rush Att | Garrett Wilson Receptions | -0.11 | 9 of 51 |
| Justin Fields Interceptions | Garrett Wilson Rec TDs | -0.14 | 0 of 17 |
| Breece Hall Rush Att | Garrett Wilson Rec Yds | -0.26 | 5 of 51 |
Estimated lines are trailing medians of recent production — a stable reference point, not a live sportsbook quote.
| Prop | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breece Hall Rush Att | 13.5 | 14.0 | 71% | 41% | 64 |
| Garrett Wilson Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 24% | 22% | 64 |
| Breece Hall Rush Yds | 58.5 | 54.0 | 50% | 42% | 53 |
| Garrett Wilson Rec Yds | 81.5 | 60.0 | 50% | 37% | 51 |
| Garrett Wilson Receptions | 5.5 | 5.0 | 67% | 47% | 51 |
| Breece Hall Rec Yds | 17.5 | 29.0 | 50% | 60% | 48 |
| Justin Fields Pass TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 35% | 35% | 17 |
| Justin Fields Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.0 | 6% | 6% | 17 |
| Justin Fields Rush TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 18% | 18% | 17 |
| Mason Taylor Rec Yds | 20.5 | 21.0 | 62% | 62% | 13 |
| Mason Taylor Receptions | 2.5 | 3.0 | 62% | 62% | 13 |
| Justin Fields Pass Yds | 115.5 | 116.0 | 56% | 56% | 9 |
| Justin Fields Rush Yds | 30.5 | 31.0 | 67% | 67% | 9 |
| John Metchie III Rec Yds | 24.5 | 25.0 | 56% | 56% | 9 |
Build a Jets parlay with live chemistry →
The interactive Parlay Architect recalculates everything — including with injured players excluded.
Based on 85 games across five seasons, the strongest positive relationships on the Jets are shown in the table above — pairs of props that historically go Over together. Positive chemistry means the legs tell one story; the joint hit column shows how often both actually landed in the same game.
Across the last five seasons the Over hit in 43 of 85 Jets games (51%), and 11 of 17 (65%) in the 2025 season. Totals context matters for every SGP: over-leaning games favor passing stacks, under-leaning games favor rush attempts and Unders.
Every figure is computed from complete game-level box scores for all 32 teams across the 2021–2025 seasons — 85 games for the Jets alone. Recent seasons are weighted more heavily. Lines shown are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines. Sample sizes are always displayed.
Jets player profiles: Breece Hall · Garrett Wilson · Justin Fields · Mason Taylor · John Metchie III
AFC East rivals: Buffalo Bills · Miami Dolphins · New England Patriots
Guides: What is a correlated parlay? · SGP strategy that respects math · Why parlays lose money