Which Jets props actually win together — and which quietly fight each other? Everything below is computed from 85 real games (2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted). No picks, no locks: just the historical relationships, with sample sizes.
In 2025 the Jets averaged 17.6 points per game and the game total went Over in 11 of 17 games (65%). Over the full five-season sample the Over hit 51% of the time.
Chemistry is the recency-weighted correlation between two props' game-by-game results. Green pairs rise and fall together — one coherent story. The joint column counts games where both beat their typical line.
| Leg A | Leg B | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braelon Allen Rush Yds | Braelon Allen Rush Att | +0.85 | 8 of 21 |
| Isaiah Davis Rush Yds | Isaiah Davis Rush Att | +0.85 | 9 of 29 |
| Opponent Points | Game Total Points | +0.75 | 23 of 85 |
| NYJ Points | Game Total Points | +0.69 | 28 of 85 |
| Game Total Points | Isaiah Davis Rush Yds | +0.60 | 11 of 29 |
| Breece Hall Rush Att | Braelon Allen Rush TDs | +0.51 | 2 of 20 |
| Opponent Points | Isaiah Davis Rush Yds | +0.49 | 8 of 29 |
| NYJ Points | Breece Hall Rush Yds | +0.49 | 21 of 56 |
Negative chemistry is not a warning — flip one leg to the Under and a fighting pair becomes a coherent story. How Under legs work in an SGP →
| Leg A | Leg B | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent Points | Braelon Allen Rush Att | -0.27 | 5 of 21 |
| Garrett Wilson Receptions | Breece Hall Rec TDs | -0.28 | 3 of 47 |
| Garrett Wilson Receptions | Breece Hall Rush Att | -0.31 | 6 of 47 |
| Opponent Points | Braelon Allen Rush Yds | -0.36 | 4 of 21 |
Estimated lines are trailing medians of recent production — a stable reference point, not a live sportsbook quote.
| Prop | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYJ Points | 19.5 | 19.0 | 47% | 47% | 85 |
| Opponent Points | 27.5 | 27.0 | 59% | 36% | 85 |
| Game Total Points | 43.5 | 43.0 | 59% | 44% | 85 |
| Garrett Wilson Rec Yds | 60.5 | 60.0 | 57% | 45% | 58 |
| Garrett Wilson Receptions | 5.5 | 5.0 | 57% | 45% | 58 |
| Garrett Wilson Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 57% | 26% | 58 |
| Breece Hall Rush Yds | 54.5 | 54.0 | 56% | 46% | 56 |
| Breece Hall Rush Att | 14.5 | 14.0 | 44% | 36% | 56 |
| Breece Hall Rush TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 19% | 29% | 56 |
| Breece Hall Rec Yds | 18.5 | 18.0 | 38% | 50% | 56 |
| Breece Hall Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 6% | 16% | 56 |
| Jeremy Ruckert Rec Yds | 12.5 | 12.0 | 57% | 40% | 40 |
| Isaiah Davis Rush Yds | 9.5 | 9.0 | 50% | 48% | 29 |
| Isaiah Davis Rush Att | 2.5 | 2.0 | 44% | 45% | 29 |
| Braelon Allen Rush Yds | 13.5 | 13.0 | 50% | 48% | 21 |
| Braelon Allen Rush Att | 5.5 | 5.0 | 50% | 43% | 21 |
| Braelon Allen Rush TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 25% | 14% | 21 |
| Mason Taylor Rec Yds | 21.5 | 21.0 | 46% | 46% | 13 |
| Mason Taylor Receptions | 3.5 | 3.0 | 46% | 46% | 13 |
| Adonai Mitchell Rec Yds | 24.5 | 24.0 | 50% | 50% | 8 |
| Adonai Mitchell Receptions | 2.5 | 2.0 | 50% | 50% | 8 |
Build a Jets parlay with live chemistry →
The interactive Parlay Architect recalculates everything — including with injured players excluded.
Based on 85 games across five seasons, the strongest positive relationships on the Jets are shown in the table above — pairs of props that historically go Over together. Positive chemistry means the legs tell one story; the joint hit column shows how often both actually landed in the same game.
Across the last five seasons the Over hit in 43 of 85 Jets games (51%), and 11 of 17 (65%) in the 2025 season. Totals context matters for every SGP: over-leaning games favor passing stacks, under-leaning games favor rush attempts and Unders.
Every figure is computed from complete game-level box scores for all 32 teams across the 2021–2025 seasons — 85 games for the Jets alone. Recent seasons are weighted more heavily. Lines shown are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines. Sample sizes are always displayed.
Jets player profiles: Garrett Wilson · Breece Hall · Jeremy Ruckert · Isaiah Davis · Braelon Allen · Mason Taylor
AFC East rivals: Buffalo Bills · Miami Dolphins · New England Patriots
Guides: What is a correlated parlay? · SGP strategy that respects math · Why parlays lose money