Which Dolphins props actually win together — and which quietly fight each other? Everything below is computed from 85 real games (2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted). No picks, no locks: just the historical relationships, with sample sizes.
In 2025 the Dolphins averaged 20.4 points per game and the game total went Over in 10 of 17 games (59%). Over the full five-season sample the Over hit 49% of the time.
Chemistry is the recency-weighted correlation between two props' game-by-game results. Green pairs rise and fall together — one coherent story. The joint column counts games where both beat their typical line.
| Leg A | Leg B | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ollie Gordon II Rush Yds | Ollie Gordon II Rush Att | +0.84 | 7 of 17 |
| Jaylen Wright Rush Yds | Jaylen Wright Rush Att | +0.82 | 7 of 22 |
| MIA Points | Game Total Points | +0.61 | 28 of 85 |
| Opponent Points | Game Total Points | +0.60 | 26 of 85 |
| MIA Points | De'Von Achane Rush TDs | +0.53 | 11 of 44 |
| Malik Washington Receptions | Ollie Gordon II Rush Att | +0.47 | 2 of 17 |
| Game Total Points | De'Von Achane Rush TDs | +0.46 | 12 of 44 |
| Malik Washington Rec Yds | Ollie Gordon II Rush Yds | +0.44 | 5 of 17 |
Negative chemistry is not a warning — flip one leg to the Under and a fighting pair becomes a coherent story. How Under legs work in an SGP →
| Leg A | Leg B | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| De'Von Achane Rec Yds | Jaylen Wright Rush Yds | -0.44 | 1 of 21 |
| De'Von Achane Rec Yds | Jaylen Wright Rush Att | -0.45 | 1 of 21 |
| De'Von Achane Rush Att | Jaylen Wright Rush Yds | -0.46 | 4 of 21 |
| De'Von Achane Rush Att | Jaylen Wright Rush Att | -0.47 | 2 of 21 |
Estimated lines are trailing medians of recent production — a stable reference point, not a live sportsbook quote.
| Prop | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA Points | 21.5 | 21.0 | 41% | 45% | 85 |
| Opponent Points | 24.5 | 24.0 | 59% | 44% | 85 |
| Game Total Points | 44.5 | 44.0 | 41% | 47% | 85 |
| De'Von Achane Rush Yds | 67.5 | 67.0 | 56% | 45% | 44 |
| De'Von Achane Rush Att | 12.5 | 12.0 | 62% | 41% | 44 |
| De'Von Achane Rush TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 38% | 39% | 44 |
| De'Von Achane Rec Yds | 28.5 | 28.0 | 50% | 48% | 44 |
| De'Von Achane Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 25% | 25% | 44 |
| Malik Washington Rec Yds | 12.5 | 12.0 | 53% | 45% | 31 |
| Malik Washington Receptions | 3.5 | 3.0 | 29% | 26% | 31 |
| Malik Washington Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 18% | 10% | 31 |
| Jaylen Wright Rush Yds | 18.5 | 18.0 | 56% | 41% | 22 |
| Jaylen Wright Rush Att | 5.5 | 5.0 | 44% | 41% | 22 |
| Ollie Gordon II Rush Yds | 8.5 | 8.0 | 47% | 47% | 17 |
| Ollie Gordon II Rush Att | 3.5 | 3.0 | 41% | 41% | 17 |
| Ollie Gordon II Rush TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 18% | 18% | 17 |
| Greg Dulcich Rec Yds | 41.5 | 41.0 | 44% | 44% | 9 |
| Greg Dulcich Receptions | 3.5 | 3.0 | 22% | 22% | 9 |
Build a Dolphins parlay with live chemistry →
The interactive Parlay Architect recalculates everything — including with injured players excluded.
Based on 85 games across five seasons, the strongest positive relationships on the Dolphins are shown in the table above — pairs of props that historically go Over together. Positive chemistry means the legs tell one story; the joint hit column shows how often both actually landed in the same game.
Across the last five seasons the Over hit in 42 of 85 Dolphins games (49%), and 10 of 17 (59%) in the 2025 season. Totals context matters for every SGP: over-leaning games favor passing stacks, under-leaning games favor rush attempts and Unders.
Every figure is computed from complete game-level box scores for all 32 teams across the 2021–2025 seasons — 85 games for the Dolphins alone. Recent seasons are weighted more heavily. Lines shown are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines. Sample sizes are always displayed.
Dolphins player profiles: De'Von Achane · Malik Washington · Jaylen Wright · Ollie Gordon II · Greg Dulcich
AFC East rivals: Buffalo Bills · New England Patriots · New York Jets
Guides: What is a correlated parlay? · SGP strategy that respects math · Why parlays lose money