Which Packers props actually win together — and which quietly fight each other? Everything below is computed from 85 real games (2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted). No picks, no locks: just the historical relationships, with sample sizes.
In 2025 the Packers averaged 23.0 points per game and the game total went Over in 9 of 17 games (53%). Over the full five-season sample the Over hit 51% of the time.
Chemistry is the recency-weighted correlation between two props' game-by-game results. Green pairs rise and fall together — one coherent story. The joint column counts games where both beat their typical line.
| Leg A | Leg B | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Kraft Rec Yds | Tucker Kraft Receptions | +0.82 | 5 of 31 |
| Josh Jacobs Rush Yds | Josh Jacobs Rush Att | +0.79 | 14 of 30 |
| Jordan Love Rush Yds | Josh Jacobs Rec Yds | +0.58 | 7 of 19 |
| Jordan Love Pass Yds | Tucker Kraft Receptions | +0.49 | 6 of 29 |
| Emanuel Wilson Rush Yds | Tucker Kraft Rec Yds | +0.39 | 6 of 22 |
| Josh Jacobs Rec Yds | Romeo Doubs Rec TDs | +0.38 | 3 of 24 |
| Jordan Love Pass Yds | Tucker Kraft Rec Yds | +0.38 | 5 of 29 |
| Jordan Love Pass TDs | Tucker Kraft Receptions | +0.38 | 7 of 31 |
Negative chemistry is not a warning — flip one leg to the Under and a fighting pair becomes a coherent story. How Under legs work in an SGP →
| Leg A | Leg B | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs Rush Yds | Emanuel Wilson Rush Yds | -0.37 | 6 of 29 |
| Christian Watson Rec Yds | Luke Musgrave Rec Yds | -0.38 | 4 of 17 |
| Josh Jacobs Rush Yds | Tucker Kraft Receptions | -0.41 | 2 of 22 |
| Josh Jacobs Rush Att | Emanuel Wilson Rush Yds | -0.50 | 8 of 31 |
Estimated lines are trailing medians of recent production — a stable reference point, not a live sportsbook quote.
| Prop | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Love Pass TDs | 0.5 | 1.0 | 65% | 49% | 80 |
| Jordan Love Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.0 | 29% | 26% | 80 |
| Romeo Doubs Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 24% | 25% | 64 |
| Christian Watson Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 24% | 22% | 64 |
| Romeo Doubs Rec Yds | 52.5 | 44.0 | 53% | 38% | 52 |
| Romeo Doubs Receptions | 2.5 | 3.0 | 67% | 75% | 52 |
| Jordan Love Pass Yds | 233.5 | 229.0 | 53% | 46% | 50 |
| Jordan Love Rush Yds | 11.5 | 10.0 | 53% | 47% | 43 |
| Christian Watson Rec Yds | 57.5 | 49.0 | 50% | 38% | 40 |
| Emanuel Wilson Rush Yds | 16.5 | 17.0 | 50% | 57% | 35 |
| Josh Jacobs Rush Att | 15.5 | 17.0 | 53% | 59% | 32 |
| Josh Jacobs Rush TDs | 0.5 | 1.0 | 59% | 56% | 32 |
| Tucker Kraft Rec Yds | 55.5 | 41.0 | 50% | 35% | 31 |
| Tucker Kraft Receptions | 4.5 | 3.0 | 50% | 23% | 31 |
| Josh Jacobs Rush Yds | 72.5 | 73.0 | 53% | 57% | 30 |
| Luke Musgrave Rec Yds | 21.5 | 22.0 | 54% | 58% | 26 |
| Josh Jacobs Rec Yds | 12.5 | 19.0 | 50% | 67% | 24 |
| Matthew Golden Rec Yds | 23.5 | 24.0 | 55% | 55% | 11 |
Build a Packers parlay with live chemistry →
The interactive Parlay Architect recalculates everything — including with injured players excluded.
Based on 85 games across five seasons, the strongest positive relationships on the Packers are shown in the table above — pairs of props that historically go Over together. Positive chemistry means the legs tell one story; the joint hit column shows how often both actually landed in the same game.
Across the last five seasons the Over hit in 43 of 85 Packers games (51%), and 9 of 17 (53%) in the 2025 season. Totals context matters for every SGP: over-leaning games favor passing stacks, under-leaning games favor rush attempts and Unders.
Every figure is computed from complete game-level box scores for all 32 teams across the 2021–2025 seasons — 85 games for the Packers alone. Recent seasons are weighted more heavily. Lines shown are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines. Sample sizes are always displayed.
Packers player profiles: Jordan Love · Romeo Doubs · Christian Watson · Emanuel Wilson · Josh Jacobs · Tucker Kraft
NFC North rivals: Chicago Bears · Detroit Lions · Minnesota Vikings
Guides: What is a correlated parlay? · SGP strategy that respects math · Why parlays lose money