Which Packers props actually win together — and which quietly fight each other? Everything below is computed from 85 real games (2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted). No picks, no locks: just the historical relationships, with sample sizes.
In 2025 the Packers averaged 23.0 points per game and the game total went Over in 9 of 17 games (53%). Over the full five-season sample the Over hit 51% of the time.
Chemistry is the recency-weighted correlation between two props' game-by-game results. Green pairs rise and fall together — one coherent story. The joint column counts games where both beat their typical line.
| Leg A | Leg B | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Brooks Rush Yds | Chris Brooks Rush Att | +0.93 | 11 of 28 |
| Tucker Kraft Rec Yds | Tucker Kraft Receptions | +0.84 | 11 of 39 |
| Opponent Points | Game Total Points | +0.79 | 28 of 85 |
| GB Points | Game Total Points | +0.78 | 29 of 85 |
| Jordan Love Rush TDs | Bo Melton Rec Yds | +0.64 | 2 of 26 |
| GB Points | Jordan Love Pass TDs | +0.57 | 18 of 57 |
| Jordan Love Pass Yds | Jayden Reed Receptions | +0.51 | 7 of 35 |
| Jordan Love Pass TDs | Christian Watson Rec TDs | +0.49 | 8 of 34 |
Negative chemistry is not a warning — flip one leg to the Under and a fighting pair becomes a coherent story. How Under legs work in an SGP →
| Leg A | Leg B | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Love Pass Yds | Chris Brooks Rush Att | -0.46 | 4 of 25 |
| Christian Watson Rec Yds | Jayden Reed Rec Yds | -0.46 | 1 of 27 |
| Christian Watson Rec Yds | Chris Brooks Rush Yds | -0.52 | 6 of 21 |
| Christian Watson Rec Yds | Chris Brooks Rush Att | -0.54 | 4 of 21 |
Estimated lines are trailing medians of recent production — a stable reference point, not a live sportsbook quote.
| Prop | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GB Points | 26.5 | 26.0 | 53% | 46% | 85 |
| Opponent Points | 20.5 | 20.0 | 47% | 51% | 85 |
| Game Total Points | 46.5 | 46.0 | 47% | 44% | 85 |
| Jordan Love Pass Yds | 229.5 | 229.0 | 53% | 42% | 57 |
| Jordan Love Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1.0 | 47% | 46% | 57 |
| Jordan Love Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.0 | 33% | 39% | 57 |
| Jordan Love Rush Yds | 7.5 | 7.0 | 53% | 42% | 57 |
| Jordan Love Rush TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0% | 9% | 57 |
| Christian Watson Rec Yds | 46.5 | 46.0 | 60% | 45% | 47 |
| Christian Watson Receptions | 3.5 | 3.0 | 60% | 36% | 47 |
| Christian Watson Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 40% | 30% | 47 |
| Tucker Kraft Rec Yds | 36.5 | 36.0 | 62% | 46% | 39 |
| Tucker Kraft Receptions | 3.5 | 3.0 | 50% | 33% | 39 |
| Tucker Kraft Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 62% | 33% | 39 |
| Jayden Reed Rec Yds | 41.5 | 41.0 | 40% | 50% | 38 |
| Jayden Reed Receptions | 4.5 | 4.0 | 20% | 24% | 38 |
| Jayden Reed Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 20% | 32% | 38 |
| Bo Melton Rec Yds | 0.5 | 0.0 | 23% | 43% | 30 |
| Chris Brooks Rush Yds | 1.5 | 1.0 | 29% | 54% | 28 |
| Chris Brooks Rush Att | 1.5 | 1.0 | 18% | 39% | 28 |
| Matthew Golden Rec Yds | 12.5 | 12.0 | 50% | 50% | 14 |
| Matthew Golden Receptions | 2.5 | 2.0 | 43% | 43% | 14 |
Build a Packers parlay with live chemistry →
The interactive Parlay Architect recalculates everything — including with injured players excluded.
Based on 85 games across five seasons, the strongest positive relationships on the Packers are shown in the table above — pairs of props that historically go Over together. Positive chemistry means the legs tell one story; the joint hit column shows how often both actually landed in the same game.
Across the last five seasons the Over hit in 43 of 85 Packers games (51%), and 9 of 17 (53%) in the 2025 season. Totals context matters for every SGP: over-leaning games favor passing stacks, under-leaning games favor rush attempts and Unders.
Every figure is computed from complete game-level box scores for all 32 teams across the 2021–2025 seasons — 85 games for the Packers alone. Recent seasons are weighted more heavily. Lines shown are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines. Sample sizes are always displayed.
Packers player profiles: Jordan Love · Christian Watson · Tucker Kraft · Jayden Reed · Bo Melton · Chris Brooks
NFC North rivals: Chicago Bears · Detroit Lions · Minnesota Vikings
Guides: What is a correlated parlay? · SGP strategy that respects math · Why parlays lose money