Travis Kelce (TE, Kansas City Chiefs) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 29% | 31% | 80 |
| Rec Yds | 47.5 | 57.0 | 53% | 63% | 76 |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 5.0 | 71% | 84% | 76 |
Props that historically rise and fall with Travis Kelce's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes Pass Yds | +0.62 | 33 of 73 |
| Kareem Hunt Rush Yds | +0.48 | 18 of 29 |
| Marquise Brown Receptions | +0.45 | 3 of 16 |
| Kareem Hunt Rush Att | +0.43 | 17 of 30 |
| Patrick Mahomes Pass TDs | +0.34 | 18 of 80 |
| Marquise Brown Rec Yds | +0.31 | 3 of 16 |
Stack Travis Kelce in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, Patrick Mahomes — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
More Chiefs: Kansas City Chiefs SGP page · Guides: QB-WR stacking · Player props 101