Pat Freiermuth (TE, Pittsburgh Steelers) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 18% | 24% | 80 |
| Rec Yds | 26.5 | 27.0 | 53% | 57% | 67 |
| Receptions | 2.5 | 3.0 | 73% | 75% | 67 |
Props that historically rise and fall with Pat Freiermuth's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Rodgers Interceptions | +0.41 | 3 of 15 |
| Aaron Rodgers Pass TDs | +0.34 | 3 of 15 |
| Jaylen Warren Rush Yds | +0.19 | 5 of 48 |
| Aaron Rodgers Pass Yds | +0.17 | 1 of 16 |
| Jaylen Warren Rush TDs | +0.10 | 2 of 64 |
| Calvin Austin III Rec Yds | +0.07 | 5 of 35 |
Stack Pat Freiermuth in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, Aaron Rodgers — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
More Steelers: Pittsburgh Steelers SGP page · Guides: QB-WR stacking · Player props 101