Pat Freiermuth (TE, Pittsburgh Steelers) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rec Yds | 28.5 | 28.0 | 40% | 54% | 74 |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 3.0 | 13% | 39% | 74 |
| Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 20% | 27% | 74 |
Props that historically rise and fall with Pat Freiermuth's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| Game Total Points | +0.35 | 10 of 74 |
| Opponent Points | +0.32 | 12 of 74 |
| PIT Points | +0.20 | 10 of 74 |
| Jaylen Warren Rush TDs | +0.15 | 2 of 55 |
| Jaylen Warren Rush Yds | +0.14 | 4 of 55 |
| Jaylen Warren Rush Att | +0.12 | 4 of 55 |
Stack Pat Freiermuth in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
More Steelers: Pittsburgh Steelers SGP page · Guides: QB-WR stacking · Player props 101