Noah Gray (TE, Kansas City Chiefs) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rec Yds | 16.5 | 16.0 | 43% | 44% | 70 |
| Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0% | 10% | 70 |
Props that historically rise and fall with Noah Gray's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| Rashee Rice Rec TDs | +0.29 | 7 of 24 |
| Patrick Mahomes Pass TDs | +0.22 | 5 of 65 |
| Xavier Worthy Receptions | +0.21 | 8 of 26 |
| Game Total Points | +0.19 | 6 of 70 |
| Opponent Points | +0.19 | 3 of 70 |
| Xavier Worthy Rec Yds | +0.17 | 3 of 26 |
Stack Noah Gray in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, Rashee Rice — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
More Chiefs: Kansas City Chiefs SGP page · Guides: QB-WR stacking · Player props 101