Michael Penix Jr. (QB, Atlanta Falcons) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 35% | 19% | 32 |
| Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.0 | 12% | 9% | 32 |
| Pass Yds | 220.5 | 202.0 | 56% | 42% | 12 |
Props that historically rise and fall with Michael Penix Jr.'s production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| Drake London Rec TDs | +0.69 | 4 of 32 |
| Drake London Receptions | +0.46 | 5 of 27 |
| Drake London Rec Yds | +0.44 | 4 of 27 |
| Bijan Robinson Rec Yds | +0.40 | 5 of 32 |
| Tyler Allgeier Rush TDs | +0.15 | 3 of 32 |
| Kyle Pitts Rec TDs | +0.01 | 1 of 32 |
Stack Michael Penix Jr. in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, Drake London — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
More Falcons: Atlanta Falcons SGP page · Guides: QB-WR stacking · Player props 101