Michael Mayer (TE, Las Vegas Raiders) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rec Yds | 13.5 | 13.0 | 54% | 49% | 37 |
| Receptions | 2.5 | 2.0 | 54% | 35% | 37 |
| Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 8% | 8% | 37 |
Props that historically rise and fall with Michael Mayer's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| LV Points | +0.36 | 2 of 37 |
| Brock Bowers Rec Yds | +0.13 | 4 of 20 |
| Brock Bowers Rec TDs | +0.13 | 2 of 20 |
| Tre Tucker Rec Yds | +0.12 | 2 of 34 |
| Tre Tucker Receptions | +0.08 | 6 of 34 |
| Tre Tucker Rec TDs | +0.04 | 1 of 34 |
Stack Michael Mayer in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, LV Points — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
More Raiders: Las Vegas Raiders SGP page · Guides: QB-WR stacking · Player props 101