Luther Burden III (WR, Chicago Bears) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rec Yds | 34.5 | 35.0 | 53% | 53% | 15 |
Props that historically rise and fall with Luther Burden III's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| Caleb Williams Pass Yds | +0.58 | 6 of 15 |
| Caleb Williams Pass TDs | +0.58 | 6 of 15 |
| DJ Moore Rec TDs | +0.35 | 3 of 15 |
| D'Andre Swift Rush TDs | +0.26 | 2 of 15 |
| D'Andre Swift Rush Yds | -0.03 | 4 of 15 |
| Caleb Williams Rush Yds | -0.20 | 3 of 15 |
Stack Luther Burden III in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, Caleb Williams — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
More Bears: Chicago Bears SGP page · Guides: QB-WR stacking · Player props 101