Justin Jefferson (WR, Minnesota Vikings) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rec Yds | 81.5 | 81.0 | 24% | 51% | 78 |
| Receptions | 6.5 | 6.0 | 24% | 45% | 78 |
| Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 12% | 38% | 78 |
Props that historically rise and fall with Justin Jefferson's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Addison Rec TDs | +0.39 | 10 of 39 |
| MIN Points | +0.38 | 23 of 78 |
| Aaron Jones Rec Yds | +0.37 | 6 of 29 |
| Jordan Mason Rush Att | +0.35 | 3 of 16 |
| Aaron Jones Rush Yds | +0.34 | 8 of 29 |
| Game Total Points | +0.31 | 21 of 78 |
Stack Justin Jefferson in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, Jordan Addison — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
More Vikings: Minnesota Vikings SGP page · Guides: QB-WR stacking · Player props 101