Justin Herbert (QB, Los Angeles Chargers) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1.0 | 47% | 46% | 80 |
| Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.0 | 65% | 48% | 80 |
| Pass Yds | 235.5 | 236.0 | 50% | 59% | 74 |
| Rush Yds | 30.5 | 21.0 | 60% | 25% | 68 |
Props that historically rise and fall with Justin Herbert's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| Oronde Gadsden II Rec Yds | +0.62 | 4 of 15 |
| Keenan Allen Rec Yds | +0.54 | 27 of 51 |
| Oronde Gadsden II Receptions | +0.53 | 4 of 15 |
| Ladd McConkey Receptions | +0.50 | 13 of 30 |
| Quentin Johnston Rec TDs | +0.47 | 11 of 48 |
| Ladd McConkey Rec Yds | +0.38 | 12 of 30 |
Stack Justin Herbert in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, Oronde Gadsden II — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
More Chargers: Los Angeles Chargers SGP page · Guides: QB-WR stacking · Player props 101