Josh Downs (WR, Indianapolis Colts) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rec Yds | 40.5 | 40.0 | 44% | 49% | 47 |
| Receptions | 4.5 | 4.0 | 31% | 40% | 47 |
| Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 25% | 23% | 47 |
Props that historically rise and fall with Josh Downs's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Ogletree Rec Yds | +0.32 | 11 of 31 |
| Tyler Warren Rec TDs | +0.30 | 2 of 16 |
| Game Total Points | +0.28 | 12 of 47 |
| Opponent Points | +0.24 | 11 of 47 |
| Mo Alie-Cox Rec Yds | +0.21 | 8 of 33 |
| Alec Pierce Receptions | +0.19 | 5 of 44 |
Stack Josh Downs in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, Andrew Ogletree — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
More Colts: Indianapolis Colts SGP page · Guides: QB-WR stacking · Player props 101