Josh Allen (QB, Buffalo Bills) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass Yds | 249.5 | 249.0 | 50% | 51% | 82 |
| Pass TDs | 2.5 | 2.0 | 25% | 27% | 82 |
| Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.0 | 44% | 55% | 82 |
| Rush Yds | 35.5 | 35.0 | 50% | 54% | 82 |
| Rush TDs | 1.5 | 1.0 | 31% | 16% | 82 |
Props that historically rise and fall with Josh Allen's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| Keon Coleman Rec Yds | +0.68 | 5 of 23 |
| BUF Points | +0.54 | 20 of 82 |
| Keon Coleman Receptions | +0.53 | 4 of 23 |
| Game Total Points | +0.49 | 16 of 82 |
| Ty Johnson Rec TDs | +0.46 | 4 of 41 |
| Opponent Points | +0.41 | 19 of 82 |
Stack Josh Allen in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, Keon Coleman — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
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