John Bates (TE, Washington Commanders) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rec Yds | 9.5 | 9.0 | 40% | 46% | 59 |
| Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 10% | 5% | 59 |
Props that historically rise and fall with John Bates's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| Jayden Daniels Pass Yds | +0.40 | 3 of 17 |
| Dyami Brown Rec TDs | +0.34 | 2 of 37 |
| Jayden Daniels Interceptions | +0.27 | 4 of 17 |
| Jayden Daniels Rush Yds | +0.25 | 4 of 17 |
| Dyami Brown Rec Yds | +0.23 | 7 of 37 |
| Jayden Daniels Rush TDs | +0.13 | 2 of 17 |
Stack John Bates in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, Jayden Daniels — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
More Commanders: Washington Commanders SGP page · Guides: QB-WR stacking · Player props 101