Joe Burrow (QB, Cincinnati Bengals) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1.0 | 29% | 56% | 79 |
| Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.0 | 18% | 38% | 79 |
| Pass Yds | 260.5 | 259.0 | 50% | 52% | 63 |
Props that historically rise and fall with Joe Burrow's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| Chase Brown Rec Yds | +0.52 | 7 of 25 |
| Mike Gesicki Rec Yds | +0.49 | 12 of 25 |
| Ja'Marr Chase Rec Yds | +0.47 | 19 of 59 |
| Ja'Marr Chase Rec TDs | +0.46 | 19 of 63 |
| Tee Higgins Rec Yds | +0.40 | 20 of 48 |
| Andrei Iosivas Rec Yds | +0.39 | 8 of 23 |
Stack Joe Burrow in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, Chase Brown — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
More Bengals: Cincinnati Bengals SGP page · Guides: QB-WR stacking · Player props 101