Joe Burrow (QB, Cincinnati Bengals) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass Yds | 261.5 | 261.0 | 38% | 51% | 67 |
| Pass TDs | 2.5 | 2.0 | 38% | 40% | 67 |
| Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.0 | 38% | 48% | 67 |
| Rush Yds | 6.5 | 6.0 | 25% | 51% | 67 |
| Rush TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0% | 13% | 67 |
Props that historically rise and fall with Joe Burrow's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| CIN Points | +0.74 | 20 of 67 |
| Game Total Points | +0.70 | 19 of 67 |
| Chase Brown Rec TDs | +0.62 | 7 of 29 |
| Mike Gesicki Rec TDs | +0.55 | 3 of 24 |
| Mike Gesicki Receptions | +0.53 | 1 of 24 |
| Tee Higgins Rec Yds | +0.50 | 20 of 53 |
Stack Joe Burrow in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, CIN Points — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
More Bengals: Cincinnati Bengals SGP page · Guides: QB-WR stacking · Player props 101