Jared Goff (QB, Detroit Lions) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass TDs | 1.5 | 2.0 | 59% | 52% | 80 |
| Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.0 | 41% | 41% | 80 |
| Pass Yds | 257.5 | 258.0 | 53% | 47% | 75 |
Props that historically rise and fall with Jared Goff's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| Amon-Ra St. Brown Rec Yds | +0.61 | 21 of 71 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown Rec TDs | +0.52 | 25 of 80 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions | +0.46 | 16 of 71 |
| Kalif Raymond Rec Yds | +0.44 | 22 of 56 |
| Jameson Williams Rec TDs | +0.42 | 14 of 64 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs Rec Yds | +0.38 | 13 of 43 |
Stack Jared Goff in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, Amon-Ra St. Brown — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
More Lions: Detroit Lions SGP page · Guides: QB-WR stacking · Player props 101