Jared Goff (QB, Detroit Lions) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass Yds | 258.5 | 258.0 | 47% | 45% | 82 |
| Pass TDs | 2.5 | 2.0 | 29% | 28% | 82 |
| Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.0 | 41% | 41% | 82 |
Props that historically rise and fall with Jared Goff's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| DET Points | +0.68 | 21 of 82 |
| Game Total Points | +0.64 | 20 of 82 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown Rec Yds | +0.58 | 22 of 79 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown Rec TDs | +0.54 | 13 of 79 |
| Brock Wright Rec TDs | +0.50 | 6 of 48 |
| Jameson Williams Rec TDs | +0.44 | 9 of 50 |
Stack Jared Goff in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, DET Points — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
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