Jalen Nailor (WR, Minnesota Vikings) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 18% | 12% | 64 |
| Rec Yds | 30.5 | 28.0 | 50% | 36% | 28 |
Props that historically rise and fall with Jalen Nailor's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| J.J. McCarthy Interceptions | +0.37 | 3 of 24 |
| Jordan Addison Rec Yds | +0.22 | 4 of 40 |
| J.J. McCarthy Pass TDs | +0.18 | 2 of 32 |
| T.J. Hockenson Rec Yds | +0.12 | 4 of 51 |
| Jordan Mason Rush Att | +0.06 | 2 of 17 |
| Aaron Jones Rush Yds | +0.06 | 5 of 27 |
Stack Jalen Nailor in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, J.J. McCarthy — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
More Vikings: Minnesota Vikings SGP page · Guides: QB-WR stacking · Player props 101