Jalen McMillan (WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rec Yds | 32.5 | 32.0 | 50% | 47% | 17 |
| Receptions | 2.5 | 2.0 | 25% | 47% | 17 |
| Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0% | 35% | 17 |
Props that historically rise and fall with Jalen McMillan's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| Baker Mayfield Pass TDs | +0.61 | 4 of 17 |
| Baker Mayfield Pass Yds | +0.49 | 7 of 17 |
| TB Points | +0.46 | 6 of 17 |
| Sean Tucker Rush Yds | +0.19 | 4 of 17 |
| Game Total Points | +0.16 | 5 of 17 |
| Bucky Irving Rec Yds | +0.15 | 3 of 17 |
Stack Jalen McMillan in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, Baker Mayfield — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
More Buccaneers: Tampa Bay Buccaneers SGP page · Guides: QB-WR stacking · Player props 101