Jake Ferguson (TE, Dallas Cowboys) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 35% | 20% | 64 |
| Rec Yds | 35.5 | 33.0 | 50% | 44% | 52 |
| Receptions | 4.5 | 5.0 | 62% | 42% | 52 |
Props that historically rise and fall with Jake Ferguson's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| Dak Prescott Pass TDs | +0.66 | 12 of 64 |
| Javonte Williams Rush Yds | +0.51 | 4 of 16 |
| Dak Prescott Pass Yds | +0.45 | 11 of 44 |
| George Pickens Rec TDs | +0.41 | 5 of 16 |
| Dak Prescott Interceptions | +0.33 | 10 of 52 |
| Javonte Williams Rush Att | +0.33 | 4 of 17 |
Stack Jake Ferguson in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, Dak Prescott — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
More Cowboys: Dallas Cowboys SGP page · Guides: QB-WR stacking · Player props 101