J.J. McCarthy (QB, Minnesota Vikings) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 35% | 19% | 32 |
| Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.0 | 47% | 25% | 32 |
| Pass Yds | 157.5 | 150.0 | 50% | 50% | 10 |
| Rush Yds | 18.5 | 19.0 | 56% | 56% | 9 |
Props that historically rise and fall with J.J. McCarthy's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| Jalen Nailor Rec Yds | +0.37 | 3 of 24 |
| Josh Oliver Rec TDs | +0.32 | 1 of 32 |
| Jalen Nailor Rec TDs | +0.18 | 2 of 32 |
| Jordan Mason Rush Att | +0.12 | 4 of 17 |
| Jordan Mason Rush TDs | +0.01 | 2 of 17 |
| Aaron Jones Rush Yds | -0.01 | 4 of 27 |
Stack J.J. McCarthy in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, Jalen Nailor — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
More Vikings: Minnesota Vikings SGP page · Guides: QB-WR stacking · Player props 101