Geno Smith (QB, Las Vegas Raiders) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass TDs | 0.5 | 1.0 | 65% | 65% | 17 |
| Interceptions | 0.5 | 1.0 | 65% | 65% | 17 |
| Pass Yds | 179.5 | 180.0 | 53% | 53% | 15 |
Props that historically rise and fall with Geno Smith's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| Brock Bowers Rec TDs | +0.69 | 4 of 17 |
| Ashton Jeanty Rec Yds | +0.53 | 7 of 16 |
| Tre Tucker Rec TDs | +0.50 | 3 of 15 |
| Tre Tucker Rec Yds | +0.46 | 6 of 15 |
| Ashton Jeanty Rush Yds | +0.36 | 6 of 17 |
| Ashton Jeanty Rush TDs | +0.27 | 5 of 17 |
Stack Geno Smith in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, Brock Bowers — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
More Raiders: Las Vegas Raiders SGP page · Guides: QB-WR stacking · Player props 101