DK Metcalf (WR, Pittsburgh Steelers) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 35% | 35% | 17 |
| Rec Yds | 48.5 | 49.0 | 53% | 53% | 15 |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 4.0 | 53% | 53% | 15 |
Props that historically rise and fall with DK Metcalf's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Gainwell Rush Yds | +0.29 | 4 of 16 |
| Aaron Rodgers Pass TDs | +0.19 | 5 of 15 |
| Aaron Rodgers Interceptions | +0.08 | 2 of 17 |
| Aaron Rodgers Pass Yds | -0.06 | 3 of 16 |
| Jaylen Warren Rush Att | -0.19 | 3 of 17 |
| Jaylen Warren Rush Yds | -0.24 | 1 of 16 |
Stack DK Metcalf in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, Kenneth Gainwell — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
More Steelers: Pittsburgh Steelers SGP page · Guides: QB-WR stacking · Player props 101