Dawson Knox (TE, Buffalo Bills) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 18% | 20% | 79 |
| Rec Yds | 22.5 | 23.0 | 53% | 57% | 61 |
Props that historically rise and fall with Dawson Knox's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| Dalton Kincaid Rec TDs | +0.40 | 3 of 36 |
| Josh Allen Rush Yds | +0.38 | 19 of 60 |
| Josh Allen Pass TDs | +0.22 | 14 of 79 |
| James Cook Rush Att | +0.11 | 8 of 48 |
| Josh Allen Pass Yds | +0.07 | 20 of 60 |
| James Cook Rush Yds | +0.03 | 5 of 46 |
Stack Dawson Knox in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, Dalton Kincaid — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
More Bills: Buffalo Bills SGP page · Guides: QB-WR stacking · Player props 101