Dawson Knox (TE, Buffalo Bills) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rec Yds | 22.5 | 22.0 | 50% | 53% | 70 |
| Receptions | 2.5 | 2.0 | 38% | 46% | 70 |
| Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 19% | 27% | 70 |
Props that historically rise and fall with Dawson Knox's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen Rush Yds | +0.36 | 22 of 69 |
| Ray Davis Rec TDs | +0.35 | 2 of 30 |
| Ty Johnson Rush Att | +0.35 | 3 of 33 |
| Josh Allen Pass TDs | +0.34 | 9 of 69 |
| James Cook Rec TDs | +0.32 | 2 of 54 |
| Dalton Kincaid Rec TDs | +0.31 | 3 of 31 |
Stack Dawson Knox in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, Josh Allen — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
More Bills: Buffalo Bills SGP page · Guides: QB-WR stacking · Player props 101