Davis Mills (QB, Houston Texans) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass Yds | 140.5 | 140.0 | 50% | 60% | 43 |
| Pass TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 50% | 53% | 43 |
| Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.0 | 17% | 40% | 43 |
| Rush TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 17% | 7% | 43 |
Props that historically rise and fall with Davis Mills's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| Brevin Jordan Rec TDs | +0.48 | 2 of 17 |
| Nico Collins Rec Yds | +0.47 | 1 of 30 |
| Opponent Points | +0.35 | 14 of 43 |
| Game Total Points | +0.32 | 16 of 43 |
| Nico Collins Receptions | +0.27 | 2 of 30 |
| HOU Points | +0.22 | 2 of 43 |
Stack Davis Mills in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, Brevin Jordan — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
More Texans: Houston Texans SGP page · Guides: QB-WR stacking · Player props 101