Daniel Jones (QB, Indianapolis Colts) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1.0 | 35% | 35% | 17 |
| Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.0 | 29% | 29% | 17 |
| Pass Yds | 254.5 | 255.0 | 54% | 54% | 13 |
| Rush Yds | 3.5 | 4.0 | 62% | 62% | 13 |
Props that historically rise and fall with Daniel Jones's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Pittman Rec TDs | +0.55 | 4 of 17 |
| Michael Pittman Rec Yds | +0.40 | 3 of 17 |
| Tyler Warren Rec Yds | +0.33 | 5 of 17 |
| Jonathan Taylor Rush TDs | +0.32 | 4 of 17 |
| Jonathan Taylor Rush Yds | +0.31 | 4 of 17 |
| Tyler Warren Receptions | +0.24 | 4 of 17 |
Stack Daniel Jones in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, Michael Pittman — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
More Colts: Indianapolis Colts SGP page · Guides: QB-WR stacking · Player props 101