Dalton Kincaid (TE, Buffalo Bills) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rec Yds | 37.5 | 37.0 | 50% | 49% | 41 |
| Receptions | 4.5 | 4.0 | 25% | 34% | 41 |
| Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 42% | 22% | 41 |
Props that historically rise and fall with Dalton Kincaid's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| Khalil Shakir Receptions | +0.35 | 8 of 38 |
| Khalil Shakir Rec TDs | +0.35 | 4 of 38 |
| Josh Allen Pass Yds | +0.35 | 14 of 40 |
| Josh Allen Pass TDs | +0.33 | 3 of 40 |
| Dawson Knox Rec Yds | +0.31 | 3 of 31 |
| Game Total Points | +0.30 | 7 of 41 |
Stack Dalton Kincaid in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, Khalil Shakir — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
More Bills: Buffalo Bills SGP page · Guides: QB-WR stacking · Player props 101