Dak Prescott (QB, Dallas Cowboys) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1.0 | 59% | 50% | 80 |
| Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.0 | 41% | 40% | 80 |
| Pass Yds | 263.5 | 261.0 | 53% | 45% | 65 |
| Rush Yds | 8.5 | 9.0 | 50% | 55% | 60 |
Props that historically rise and fall with Dak Prescott's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| Javonte Williams Rush Att | +0.73 | 8 of 17 |
| Jake Ferguson Rec TDs | +0.66 | 12 of 64 |
| George Pickens Rec Yds | +0.64 | 8 of 17 |
| George Pickens Rec TDs | +0.60 | 7 of 17 |
| CeeDee Lamb Rec Yds | +0.51 | 16 of 60 |
| Jake Ferguson Rec Yds | +0.45 | 11 of 44 |
Stack Dak Prescott in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, Javonte Williams — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
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