Dak Prescott (QB, Dallas Cowboys) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass Yds | 261.5 | 261.0 | 53% | 47% | 70 |
| Pass TDs | 2.5 | 2.0 | 29% | 33% | 70 |
| Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.0 | 41% | 51% | 70 |
| Rush Yds | 7.5 | 7.0 | 47% | 51% | 70 |
| Rush TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 12% | 10% | 70 |
Props that historically rise and fall with Dak Prescott's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| DAL Points | +0.65 | 21 of 70 |
| Jake Ferguson Rec TDs | +0.65 | 9 of 49 |
| George Pickens Rec Yds | +0.64 | 4 of 17 |
| George Pickens Rec TDs | +0.60 | 4 of 17 |
| CeeDee Lamb Rec TDs | +0.55 | 13 of 65 |
| CeeDee Lamb Rec Yds | +0.51 | 19 of 65 |
Stack Dak Prescott in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, DAL Points — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
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