Cole Kmet (TE, Chicago Bears) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rec Yds | 15.5 | 28.0 | 67% | 77% | 69 |
Props that historically rise and fall with Cole Kmet's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| Caleb Williams Interceptions | +0.46 | 9 of 28 |
| D'Andre Swift Rush Att | +0.37 | 14 of 28 |
| Caleb Williams Pass Yds | +0.24 | 8 of 28 |
| D'Andre Swift Rec Yds | +0.20 | 11 of 24 |
| DJ Moore Receptions | +0.17 | 19 of 41 |
| DJ Moore Rec Yds | +0.15 | 20 of 41 |
Stack Cole Kmet in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, Caleb Williams — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
More Bears: Chicago Bears SGP page · Guides: QB-WR stacking · Player props 101