Cole Kmet (TE, Chicago Bears) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rec Yds | 27.5 | 27.0 | 44% | 50% | 82 |
| Receptions | 2.5 | 2.0 | 19% | 56% | 82 |
| Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 12% | 17% | 82 |
Props that historically rise and fall with Cole Kmet's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| Roschon Johnson Rush Att | +0.47 | 14 of 32 |
| Caleb Williams Interceptions | +0.45 | 6 of 32 |
| Caleb Williams Pass TDs | +0.44 | 4 of 32 |
| Caleb Williams Pass Yds | +0.38 | 6 of 32 |
| Roschon Johnson Rush Yds | +0.38 | 14 of 32 |
| Rome Odunze Receptions | +0.34 | 7 of 27 |
Stack Cole Kmet in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, Roschon Johnson — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
More Bears: Chicago Bears SGP page · Guides: QB-WR stacking · Player props 101