Baker Mayfield (QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass Yds | 214.5 | 233.0 | 53% | 60% | 48 |
| Pass TDs | 1.5 | 2.0 | 47% | 58% | 48 |
| Interceptions | 0.5 | 1.0 | 53% | 56% | 48 |
| Rush Yds | 30.5 | 19.0 | 50% | 27% | 44 |
Props that historically rise and fall with Baker Mayfield's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| Emeka Egbuka Rec TDs | +0.75 | 5 of 17 |
| Emeka Egbuka Rec Yds | +0.56 | 6 of 17 |
| Emeka Egbuka Receptions | +0.48 | 7 of 17 |
| Chris Godwin Jr. Rec Yds | +0.46 | 17 of 31 |
| Cade Otton Rec Yds | +0.33 | 14 of 42 |
| Tez Johnson Rec TDs | +0.31 | 2 of 17 |
Stack Baker Mayfield in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, Emeka Egbuka — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
More Buccaneers: Tampa Bay Buccaneers SGP page · Guides: QB-WR stacking · Player props 101