Baker Mayfield (QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass Yds | 233.5 | 233.0 | 35% | 53% | 51 |
| Pass TDs | 2.5 | 2.0 | 12% | 24% | 51 |
| Interceptions | 1.5 | 1.0 | 12% | 16% | 51 |
| Rush Yds | 16.5 | 16.0 | 53% | 45% | 51 |
| Rush TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 6% | 10% | 51 |
Props that historically rise and fall with Baker Mayfield's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| Emeka Egbuka Rec TDs | +0.75 | 2 of 17 |
| TB Points | +0.63 | 10 of 51 |
| Jalen McMillan Rec TDs | +0.61 | 4 of 17 |
| Emeka Egbuka Rec Yds | +0.56 | 4 of 17 |
| Chris Godwin Jr. Receptions | +0.54 | 5 of 33 |
| Game Total Points | +0.53 | 9 of 51 |
Stack Baker Mayfield in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, Emeka Egbuka — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
More Buccaneers: Tampa Bay Buccaneers SGP page · Guides: QB-WR stacking · Player props 101