Aaron Jones (RB, Minnesota Vikings) — every number below comes from real box scores across the 2021–2025 seasons, recency-weighted, with sample sizes shown. Estimated lines are trailing medians, not live sportsbook lines.
| Market | Est. Line | Wtd Median | Over % '25 | Over % 5yr | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rush Yds | 53.5 | 53.0 | 33% | 52% | 29 |
| Rush Att | 13.5 | 13.0 | 33% | 52% | 29 |
| Rush TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 17% | 24% | 29 |
| Rec Yds | 20.5 | 20.0 | 33% | 48% | 29 |
| Rec TDs | 0.5 | 0.0 | 8% | 10% | 29 |
Props that historically rise and fall with Aaron Jones's production — the raw material of a coherent same game parlay.
| Partner Prop | Chemistry | Both Over |
|---|---|---|
| Game Total Points | +0.54 | 9 of 29 |
| MIN Points | +0.53 | 10 of 29 |
| Opponent Points | +0.38 | 11 of 29 |
| Justin Jefferson Rec TDs | +0.37 | 6 of 29 |
| Jordan Addison Rec Yds | +0.35 | 8 of 25 |
| T.J. Hockenson Rec TDs | +0.33 | 2 of 21 |
Stack Aaron Jones in the Parlay Architect →
The table above shows the over rate against a trailing-median line for each market, in 2025 and across the full five-season sample. Rates near 50% are expected — lines track production. What matters for an SGP is which legs move together.
Historically, — see the chemistry table. Positive chemistry means the props tend to go Over in the same games.
More Vikings: Minnesota Vikings SGP page · Guides: QB-WR stacking · Player props 101